Discussion Paper

Which Market Indicators Best Forecast Recessions?


Abstract: In this note, we use econometric methods to infer which economic and financial indicators reliably identify and predict recessions.

https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.1805

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Bibliographic Information

Provider: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

Part of Series: FEDS Notes

Publication Date: 2016-08-02

Number: 2016-08-02