Journal Article
Have long-term inflation expectations declined?
Abstract: Based on surveys of professional forecasters, expectations for price inflation 5 to 10 years ahead have edged down over the past few years. This decline seems to be primarily driven by revised expectations from forecasters who overestimated inflation in the aftermath of the Great Recession. Currently, the median survey-based expectation for long-term inflation is close to its pre-recession level and appears well anchored at the Fed?s 2% longer-run inflation objective.
Access Documents
File(s):
File format is application/pdf
http://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/economic-letter/2015/april/low-long-term-inflation-survey-based-forecast/el2015-11.pdf
Description: Full text
Authors
Bibliographic Information
Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Part of Series: FRBSF Economic Letter
Publication Date: 2015
Order Number: 11