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Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Economic Letter
Getting a Jump on Inflation
Alan Armen
Evan F. Koenig
Abstract

Accurate official estimates of Fed policymakers’ preferred PCE inflation measure take months, and sometimes years, to become available. A small set of timelier indicators offers realtime power to “nowcast” PCE inflation. Those indicators provide as much accuracy as initial government estimates and remain informative even after official estimates have been published.


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Alan Armen & Evan F. Koenig, "Getting a Jump on Inflation" , Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Economic Letter, volume 12, issue 9, pages 1-4, August 2017.
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