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Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Economic Commentary
Considerable period of time: the case of signaling future policy
Charles T. Carlstrom
Timothy S. Fuerst
Abstract

There has been a remarkable increase in the FOMC’s communication over the last decade. Perhaps the most dramatic change was the inclusion of language indicating the possible direction of future policy. One example is the now famous “considerable-period” language that was inserted in August 2003. This forward-looking language was remarkable in that it seemingly signaled the Committee’s intention to keep rates low for an extended period. This Commentary analyzes the reasons behind the “considerable-period-of-time” language, and it argues that such language was important to stem further declines in inflation since the funds rate was already close to its lower bound of zero.


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Charles T. Carlstrom & Timothy S. Fuerst, "Considerable period of time: the case of signaling future policy" , Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Economic Commentary, issue Nov, 2005.
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Keywords: Federal Open Market Committee ; Monetary policy - United States ; Federal funds rate
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