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Are State Economic Conditions a Harbinger of a National Recession?


Abstract: An analysis of state-level economic growth suggests that a certain number of contracting state economies could signal the start of a national recession.

Keywords: state economic conditions; recessions;

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Bibliographic Information

Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Source: On the Economy

Publication Date: 2022-12-28

Note: A follow-up blog post using new data through November is available: https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2023/jan/are-state-economic-conditions-harbinger-recession-update