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Breakeven Employment Growth: Estimate Range Widens in 2026
Abstract: Volatile immigration projections create uncertainty in the 2026 breakeven employment growth estimate, which now ranges from 15,000 to 87,000 jobs per month.
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https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2026/mar/breakeven-employment-growth-estimate-range-widens-2026
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Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Source: On the Economy
Publication Date: 2026-03-24