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Making Sense of Recession Probabilities


Abstract: While recession probabilities can provide a snapshot of current economic conditions, relying on them to judge whether a recession is underway can be risky.

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File(s): File format is text/html https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2025/may/making-sense-recession-probabilities
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Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Source: On the Economy

Publication Date: 2025-05-27