Predicting the Unemployment Rate in a Time of Coronavirus
Abstract: Economists forecast the unemployment rate all the time. Usually, though, they use data over the previous months and quarters to forecast the unemployment rate out several years. Since the relationships between the unemployment rate and things like GDP growth and employment are mostly stable over time, and since month-to-month movements in the unemployment rate are usually small, these forecasts usually work well.
File(s): File format is text/html https://www.chicagofed.org/publications/blogs/chicago-fed-insights/2020/unemployment-rate
Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Publication Date: 2020-04-07