Report
The Real Consequences of Macroprudential FX Regulations
Abstract: I exploit a natural experiment in South Korea to examine the real effects of macroprudential foreign exchange (FX) regulations designed to reduce risk-taking by financial intermediaries. By using crossbank variation in the regulation's tightness, I show that it causes a reduction in the supply of FX derivatives (FXD) and results in a substantial decline in exports for the firms that were heavily relying on FXD hedging. I offer a mechanism in which imbalances in hedging demand, banks' costly equity financing, and firms' costly switching of banking relationships play a central role in explaining the empirical findings.
Keywords: real effects; macroprudential policy; international finance; derivatives hedging; FX risk management;
JEL Classification: D14; E44; G15; G28; G32;
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Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Part of Series: Staff Reports
Publication Date: 2021-10-01
Number: 989