Working Paper
Foreign trade and equilibrium indeterminacy
Abstract: We show that dependence of production on foreign inputs (or non-producible natural resources) can significantly increase the likelihood of indeterminacy. Payment of imported foreign factors of production may act as a semi-fixed cost, amplifying production externalities and returns to scale, making self-fulfilling expectations driven busyness cycles easier to arise. This is demonstrated using a standard neoclassical growth model. Calibration exercise shows that the required increasing returns to scale can be reduced by as much as 64% based on estimated share of foreign inputs in production for OECD countries.
https://doi.org/10.20955/wp.2005.041
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Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Part of Series: Working Papers
Publication Date: 2005
Number: 2005-041