Journal Article

Convergence to Rational Expectations in Learning Models: A Note of Caution


Abstract: We show in a simple monetary model that the learning dynamics do not converge to the rational expectations monetary steady state. We then show it is necessary to restrict the learning rule to obtain convergence. We derive an upper bound on the gain parameter in the learning rule, based on economic fundamentals in the monetary model, such that gain parameters above the upper bound would imply that the learning dynamics would diverge from the rational expectations monetary steady state.

Keywords: monetary; learning models;

JEL Classification: C60; D84;

https://doi.org/10.20955/r.103.351-65

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Bibliographic Information

Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Part of Series: Review

Publication Date: 2021-07-01

Volume: 103

Issue: 3

Pages: 351-366