Journal Article
Does the Yield Curve Really Forecast Recession?
Abstract: An inverted yield curve doesn?t forecast recession; it forecasts conditions that make recession more likely.
https://doi.org/10.20955/es.2018.30
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https://doi.org/10.20955/es.2018.30
Description: https://doi.org/10.20955/es.2018.30
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https://files.stlouisfed.org/files/htdocs/publications/economic-synopses/2018/11/30/does-the-yield-curve-really-forecast-recession.pdf
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Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Part of Series: Economic Synopses
Publication Date: 2018
Issue: 30
Pages: 1-2