Journal Article
Disagreement among Households May Foreshadow a Rise in Inflation Expectations
Abstract: Households’ expectations about future inflation can influence realized inflation, so many policymakers track median household inflation expectations. However, the median changes slowly if households learn about economic fundamentals gradually. A widening distribution of household inflation expectations may foreshadow an increase in the median. During 2021, for example, disagreement about inflation expectations rose months before the median increased appreciably.
Keywords: Inflation; Households;
JEL Classification: E2;
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https://www.kansascityfed.org/Economic%20Bulletin/documents/8867/EconomicBulletin22Glover0629.pdf
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Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
Part of Series: Economic Bulletin
Publication Date: 2022-06-29
Issue: June 29, 2022
Pages: 3