Working Paper

Selection Without Exclusion

Abstract: It is well understood that classical sample selection models are not semiparametrically identified without exclusion restrictions. Lee (2009) developed bounds for the parameters in a model that nests the semiparametric sample selection model. These bounds can be wide. In this paper, we investigate bounds that impose the full structure of a sample selection model with errors that are independent of the explanatory variables but have unknown distribution. We find that the additional structure in the classical sample selection model can significantly reduce the identified set for the parameters of interest. Specifically, we construct the identified set for the parameter vector of interest. It is a one-dimensional line-segment in the parameter space, and we demonstrate that this line segment can be short in principle as well as in practice. We show that the identified set is sharp when the model is correct and empty when model is not correct. We also provide non-sharp bounds under the assumption that the model is correct. These are easier to compute and associated with lower statistical uncertainty than the sharp bounds. Throughout the paper, we illustrate our approach by estimating a standard sample selection model for wages.

Keywords: Sample Selection; exclusion Restrictions; bounds; Partial Identification;

JEL Classification: C10; C14;

https://doi.org/10.21033/wp-2018-10

Bibliographic Information

Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Part of Series: Working Paper Series

Publication Date: 2018-07-02

Number: WP-2018-10

Pages: 40 pages