What’s the Potential Impact of Force Majeure Claims on Financial Stability?

Abstract: This article examines the potential aggregate impact on financial stability of several bilateral force majeure claims filed at approximately the same time in one or more markets. One and a half years after the pandemic started, I take stock of the developments involving force majeure claims thus far, and conclude that the likelihood of these claims creating a systemic threat to financial stability is low.

Keywords: force majeure; Covid-19; CMBS; MBS; TBA; negative oil prices; derivatives; futures; uncleared margin rules;

JEL Classification: K12; K22; M20; M21; E44; G15;

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Bibliographic Information

Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Part of Series: Chicago Fed Letter

Publication Date: 2021-09-07

Issue: 459

Pages: 7