Working Paper

The Financial (In)Stability Real Interest Rate, R**


Abstract: We introduce the concept of financial stability real interest rate using a macroeconomic banking model with an occasionally binding financing constraint as in Gertler and Kiyotaki (2010). The financial stability interest rate, r**, is the threshold interest rate that triggers the constraint being binding. Increasing imbalances in the financial sector measured by an increase in leverage are accompanied by a lower threshold that could trigger financial instability events. We also construct a theoretical implied financial condition index and show how it is related to the gap between the natural and financial stability interest rates.

Keywords: r**; Financial crises; Financial stability; Occasionally binding credit constraint;

JEL Classification: E40; E50; G00;

https://doi.org/10.17016/IFDP.2021.1308

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File(s): File format is application/pdf https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/files/ifdp1308.pdf

Authors

Bibliographic Information

Provider: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

Part of Series: International Finance Discussion Papers

Publication Date: 2021-01-29

Number: 1308