Working Paper

In search of the liquidity effect


Abstract: A short-run negative relationship between monetary aggregates and interest rates--the \"liquidity effect\"--is central to popular, political, and academic discussions of monetary policy. This paper searches for this empirical relationship. We use monthly U.S. data since 1954 to ask if the characterization of the liquidity effect is sensitive to: (i) changes in sample period; (ii) conditioning the correlations on additional variables; (iii) assuming money growth is exogenous, and (iv) treating monetary changes as anticipated or unanticipated. ; The correlations change significantly with each of the four variations. We conclude that a successful search for the liquidity effect requires careful identification of private and policy behavior.

Keywords: Liquidity (Economics);

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File(s): File format is application/pdf http://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/ifdp/1991/403/ifdp403.pdf

Authors

Bibliographic Information

Provider: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

Part of Series: International Finance Discussion Papers

Publication Date: 1991

Number: 403