Working Paper

High real interest rates in the aftermath of disinflation: is it a lack of credibility?


Abstract: High real interest rates have been observed in many countries for several months after the adoption of disinflation programs. While they may reflect primarily a liquidity crunch, high ex post real interest rates can also be explained in terms of an ex post error in inflation expectations that reflects a lack of credibility of the low-inflation policy. The latter hypothesis is tested using data for Argentina, Israel, and Mexico during the implementation of the stabilization programs in the mid-1980s.

Keywords: Interest rates;

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File(s): File format is application/pdf http://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/ifdp/1996/543/ifdp543.pdf

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Bibliographic Information

Provider: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

Part of Series: International Finance Discussion Papers

Publication Date: 1996

Number: 543