Discussion Paper

Updating the Recession Risk and the Excess Bond Premium


Abstract: Beginning with the publication of this Note, we will provide updated estimates of the EBP and the associated model-implied probability of a U.S. recession every month.

https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.1836

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Bibliographic Information

Provider: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

Part of Series: FEDS Notes

Publication Date: 2016-10-06

Number: 2016-10-06