Discussion Paper

Detecting Tariff Effects on Consumer Prices in Real Time – Part II


Abstract: Major changes in U.S. trade policy last year have led to a surge of interest in the timely assessment of the economic effects of tariffs. Minton and Somale (2025) developed a methodology to detect tariff effects on consumer prices in real time that relies solely on publicly available data.

https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.4040

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Provider: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

Part of Series: FEDS Notes

Publication Date: 2026-04-08

Number: 2026-04-08-4