Working Paper

Social Security and High-Frequency Labor Supply: Evidence from Uber Drivers


Abstract: We estimate the impact of anticipated transfers on labor supply using confidential driver-level data from Uber. Leveraging the staggered timing of Social Security retirement benefits within each month and a novel identification strategy, we find that the labor supply of older drivers declines by 2% on average in the week around benefit receipt—a precisely estimated but economically small effect. Individual-level analyses reveal that the average effect obscures heterogeneous micro-behavior: while the majority of drivers does not meaningfully adjust labor supply in response to social security benefits, a small group reduces labor supply by more than 40%. The results suggest that departures from standard models of labor supply are meaningful but only for a small number of individuals.

Keywords: Labor supply; Retirement; Social security; Gig economy;

JEL Classification: J14; J18; J22; C10; H55; J26;

https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2024.079

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Bibliographic Information

Provider: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

Part of Series: Finance and Economics Discussion Series

Publication Date: 2024-09-20

Number: 2024-079