Does Trade Liberalization with China Influence U.S. Elections?
Abstract: This paper examines the impact of trade liberalization on U.S. Congressional elections. We find that U.S. counties subject to greater competition from China via a change in U.S. trade policy exhibit relative increases in turnout, the share of votes cast for Democrats and the probability that the county is represented by a Democrat. We find that these changes are consistent with Democrats in office being more likely than Republicans to support legislation limiting import competition or favoring economic assistance.
File(s): File format is application/pdf http://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/feds/2016/files/2016039pap.pdf
Part of Series: Finance and Economics Discussion Series
Publication Date: 2016-03
Pages: 40 pages