Working Paper

Alternative Models of Interest Rate Pass-Through in Normal and Negative Territory

Abstract: In the aftermath of the Great Recession, many countries used low or negative policy rates to stimulate the economy. These policies gave rise to a rapidly growing literature that seeks to understand and quantify their impact. A fundamental step when studying the effectiveness of low and negative policy rates is to understand their transmission to loan and deposit rates. This paper proposes two models of pass-through from policy rates to loan and deposit rates that can match important stylized facts while remaining parsimonious. These models can be used to study the transition between positive and negative policy rates and to quantify the impact of negative rates on banks.

Keywords: Negative Interest Rates; zero lower bound (ZLB); Monetary Policy; Bank Profitability;

JEL Classification: E32; E44; E52; E58; G21;

https://doi.org/10.24148/wp2020-31

Bibliographic Information

Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

Part of Series: Working Paper Series

Publication Date: 2020-09-09

Number: 2020-31