Journal Article

Monetary policy prospects

Abstract: In this article Evan Koenig looks at measures of the Federal Reserves policy stance and discusses why short-term interest rates will almost certainly have to increase at some point. The article also examines the historical relationship between Federal Reserve policy, inflation and resource slack for insights on future rate changes. Koenig concludes that a wide range of policy outcomes are plausible over the next two years, depending on the strength of the recovery, the economys growth potential, and the sustainable unemployment ratevariables that economists cant, unfortunately, estimate with much confidence.>

Keywords: Interest rates; Unemployment;

Bibliographic Information

Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Part of Series: Economic and Financial Policy Review

Publication Date: 2004

Pages: 1-16

Order Number: 02