Conference Paper

How forward-looking is optimal monetary policy?


Abstract: We calculate optimal monetary policy rules for several variants of a simple optimizing model of the monetary transmission mechanism with sticky prices and/or wages. We show that robustly optimal rules can be represented by interest-rate feedback rules that generalize the celebrated proposal of Taylor (1993). Optimal rules, however, require that the current interest rate operating target depend positively on the recent past level of the operating target, and its recent rate of increase, in a way that is characteristic of estimated central bank reaction functions, but not of Taylor's proposal.

Keywords: Banks and banking, Central; Inflation (Finance); Monetary policy;

Status: Published in Journal of money, credit, and banking, volume 35, no. 6, pt. 2, December 2003

Authors

Bibliographic Information

Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

Part of Series: Proceedings

Publication Date: 2003

Pages: 1425-1483