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The Impact of Tariffs on Inflation


Abstract: This brief introduces a new methodology that quantifies how price increases at the border transmit to US consumers. The methodology allows the authors to determine the share of US consumption that would be subject to such increases and to break them down into different country and industry sources. Among other applications, the methodology enables the authors to compute the effects of various tariff plans on consumer price inflation, as tariffs effectively increase the border prices of imported goods.

Keywords: tariffs; inflation; import prices; indirect imports;

JEL Classification: F40; E65; E31;

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File(s): File format is application/pdf https://www.bostonfed.org/-/media/Documents/Workingpapers/PDF/2025/cpp20250206.pdf
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Bibliographic Information

Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of Boston

Part of Series: Current Policy Perspectives

Publication Date: 2025-02-06

Number: 25-2