Nonlinear Inflation Dynamics in Menu Cost Economies

Blanco, Andres; Boar, Corina; Jones, Callum J.; Midrigan, Virgiliu

doi:10.29338/wp2024-10

Working Paper

Nonlinear Inflation Dynamics in Menu Cost Economies

Abstract: Existing menu cost models, when parameterized to match the micro-price data, cannot reproduce the extent to which the fraction of price changes increases with inflation. In addition, in the presence of strategic complementarities, they predict implausibly large menu costs and misallocation. We resolve these shortcomings using a multi-product menu cost model that features two key ingredients. First, the products sold by a firm are imperfect substitutes. Second, strategic complementarities are at the firm, not product level. In contrast to existing models, the fraction of price changes increases rapidly with the size of monetary shocks, so our model implies a non-linear Phillips curve.

Keywords: menu costs; inflation; Phillips curve;

JEL Classification: E12; E31; E32; E52;

https://doi.org/10.29338/wp2024-10

Status: Published in 2024