Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know: Learning in Low- and High-Inflation Settings

RePEc Short ID: pke223
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4627-1928

Candia, Bernardo; Coibion, Olivier; Frache, Serafin; Georgarakos, Dmitris; Gorodnichenko, Yuriy; Kenny, Geoff; Kumar, Saten; Lluberas, Rodrigo; Meyer, Brent; Ropele, Tiziano; Weber, Michael

doi:10.29338/wp2023-08

Working Paper

Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know: Learning in Low- and High-Inflation Settings

Abstract: Using randomized control trials (RCT) applied over time in different countries, we study how the economic environment affects how agents learn from new information. We show that as inflation has risen in developed economies, both households and firms have become more attentive and informed about inflation, leading them to respond less to exogenously provided information about inflation and monetary policy. This observation holds for both firms and households. We also study the effects of RCTs in countries where inflation has been consistently high (Uruguay) and low (New Zealand) as well as what happens when the same agents are repeatedly provided information in both low- and high-inflation environments (Italy). Our results broadly support models in which inattention is an endogenous outcome that depends on the economic environment.

Keywords: inattention; RCTs; inflation expectation;

JEL Classification: E3; E4; E5;

https://doi.org/10.29338/wp2023-08

Status: Published in 2023