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Fed’s forecasting edge ebbed prepandemic, persisted in downside inflation surprises
Abstract: We compare Federal Reserve Board staff forecasts with professional forecasts from Blue Chip Economic Indicators for headline Consumer Price Index inflation. The relevant question then is not whether inflation forecasts matter, but rather what their content reveals.
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https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0521
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Bibliographic Information
Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Source: Dallas Fed Economics
Publication Date: 2026-05-21