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Implications of the Iran war for U.S. inflation
Abstract: Recent research quantifies the impact of 2026 Iran war on U.S. inflation and household inflation expectations under a range of scenarios. Under a plausible scenario, 2026 fourth-quarter-over-fourth quarter headline personal consumption expenditures inflation would increase by 0.6 percentage points.
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https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0417
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Bibliographic Information
Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Source: Dallas Fed Economics
Publication Date: 2026-04-17