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Discussion Paper
How the Fed’s Overnight Reverse Repo Facility Works
Afonso, Gara; Logan, Lorie; Martin, Antoine; Riordan, Will; Zobel, Patricia
(2022-01-11)
Daily take-up at the overnight reverse repo (ON RRP) facility increased from less than $1 billion in early March 2021 to just under $2 trillion on December 31, 2021. In the second post in this series, we take a closer look at this important tool in the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy implementation framework and discuss the factors behind the recent increase in volume.
Liberty Street Economics
, Paper 20220111
Report
Inflation persistence: alternative interpretations and policy implications
Sbordone, Argia M.
(2007-05-01)
In this paper, I consider the policy implications of two alternative structural interpretations of observed inflation persistence, which correspond to two alternative specifications of the new Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC). The first specification allows for some degree of intrinsic persistence by way of a lagged inflation term in the NKPC. The second is a purely forward-looking model, in which expectations farther into the future matter and coefficients are time-varying. In this specification, most of the observed inflation persistence is attributed to fluctuations in the underlying ...
Staff Reports
, Paper 286
Report
The equilibrium real policy rate through the lens of standard growth models
Wang, J. Christina; Sichel, Daniel E.
(2017-11-17)
The long-run equilibrium real policy rate is a key concept in monetary economics and an important input into monetary policy decision-making. It has gained particular prominence lately as the Federal Reserve continues to normalize monetary policy. In this study, we assess the evolution, current level, and prospective values of this equilibrium rate within the framework of standard growth models. Our analysis considers as a baseline the single-sector Solow model, but it places more emphasis on the multi-sector neoclassical growth model, which better fits the data over the past three decades. ...
Current Policy Perspectives
, Paper 17-6
Working Paper
Understanding Persistent Stagnation
Cuba-Borda, Pablo A.; Singh, Sanjay R.
(2019-03-07)
We theoretically explore long-run stagnation at the zero lower bound in a representative agent framework. We analytically compare expectations-driven stagnation to a secular stagnation episode and find contrasting policy implications for changes in government spending, supply shocks and neo-Fisherian policies. On the other hand, a minimum wage policy is expansionary and robust to the source of stagnation. Using Bayesian methods, we estimate a DSGE model that can accommodate two competing hypotheses of long-run stagnation in Japan. We document that equilibrium selection under indeterminacy ...
International Finance Discussion Papers
, Paper 1243
Conference Paper
Inflation Dynamics and Monetary Policy : Economic Policy Symposium, Jackson Hole, Wyoming, August 27-29, 2015
Kansas City, Federal Reserve Bank
(2015)
Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole
Working Paper
Reserve Balances, the Federal Funds Market and Arbitrage in the New Regulatory Framework
Tase, Manjola; Banegas, Ayelen
(2016-09-01)
We study developments in reserve balances and the federal funds market in the context of two banking regulatory changes: the widening of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) assessment base and the introduction of the Basel III leverage ratio. Using a novel data set that includes FDIC fees and balance sheet data for depository institutions, we find that, as most foreign banks were not subject to the FDIC fee, they absorbed increasing amounts of reserve balances. Furthermore, foreign banks experienced positive and improving conditions for arbitraging between borrowing reserve ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2016-079
Working Paper
How to Starve the Beast: Fiscal Policy Rules
Martin, Fernando M.
(2020-10-14)
Countries have widely imposed fiscal rules designed to constrain government spending and ensure fiscal responsibility. This paper studies the effectiveness and welfare implications of revenue, deficit and debt rules when governments are discretionary and profligate. The optimal prescription is a revenue ceiling coupled with a balance budget requirement. For the U.S., the optimal revenue ceiling is about 15% of output, 3 percentage points below the postwar average. Most of the benefits can still be reaped with a milder constraint or escape clauses during adverse times. Imposing a single fiscal ...
Working Papers
, Paper 2019-026
Working Paper
Liquidity Traps and Monetary Policy: Managing a Credit Crunch
Buera, Francisco J.; Nicolini, Juan Pablo
(2014-07-18)
We study a model with heterogeneous producers that face collateral and cash-in-advance constraints. These two frictions give rise to a nontrivial financial market in a monetary economy. A tightening of the collateral constraint results in a recession generated by a credit crunch. The model can be used to study the effects on the main macroeconomic variables, and on the welfare of each individual of alternative monetary and fiscal policies following the credit crunch. The model reproduces several features of the recent financial crisis, such as the persistent negative real interest rates, the ...
Working Papers
, Paper 714
Working Paper
Helicopter Drops and Liquidity Traps
Amador, Manuel; Bianchi, Javier
(2023-04-06)
We show that if the central bank operates without commitment and faces constraints on its balance sheet, helicopter drops can be a useful stabilization tool during a liquidity trap. With commitment, even with balance sheet constraints, helicopter drops are, at best, irrelevant.
Working Papers
, Paper 797
Working Paper
Assessing Abenomics: Evidence from Inflation-Indexed Japanese Government Bonds
Christensen, Jens H. E.; Spiegel, Mark M.
(2019-10-15)
We assess the impact of news concerning the reforms associated with ?Abenomics? using an arbitrage-free term structure model of nominal and real yields. Our model explicitly accounts for the deflation protection enhancement embedded in Japanese inflation-indexed bonds issued since 2013, which pay their original nominal principal when deflation has occurred from issue to maturity. The value of this enhancement is sizable and time-varying, with substantive impacts on estimates of expected inflation compensation. After properly accounting for deflation protection, our results suggest that ...
Working Paper Series
, Paper 2019-15
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government debt 17 items
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expectations 17 items
monetary policy transmission 17 items
liquidity traps 17 items
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emerging markets 15 items
financial stability 15 items
time-consistency 15 items
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institutional design 13 items
political frictions 13 items
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forecasting 12 items
liquidity 12 items
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inflation target 11 items
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) 10 items
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uncertainty 9 items
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affine arbitrage-free term structure model 7 items
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federal funds rates 6 items
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balance sheet policies 6 items
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central bank 5 items
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euro area 4 items
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QT 2 items
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Search and matching 2 items
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Twitter 2 items
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active vs passive policies 2 items
administered rates 2 items
ample reserves 2 items
asset pricing 2 items
asymmetric information 2 items
average inflation targeting 2 items
balance sheets 2 items
bank lending channel 2 items
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central bank balance sheets 2 items
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central bank procedures 2 items
central banks and their policies 2 items
consumer expectations 2 items
conundrum 2 items
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debt management 2 items
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demographics 2 items
deposits 2 items
disaggregate inflation 2 items
durable and nondurable goods consumption 2 items
equilibrium 2 items
external instruments 2 items
financial crisis 2 items
financial globalization 2 items
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frictions 2 items
gasoline price 2 items
global banks 2 items
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government spending 2 items
heterogeneity 2 items
heterogeneous expectations 2 items
high frequency identification 2 items
high-frequency identification 2 items
household surveys 2 items
housing investment 2 items
impulse responses 2 items
inflation (finance) 2 items
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input-output linkages 2 items
international trade 2 items
investment 2 items
labor markets 2 items
lagged effects 2 items
leaning against the wind 2 items
lifecycle 2 items
limited commitment 2 items
liquidity premium 2 items
lower bound 2 items
macroeconomic uncertainty 2 items
median PCE inflation 2 items
model uncertainty 2 items
monetary and fiscal policy 2 items
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monetary shocks 2 items
money 2 items
money supply 2 items
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