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Incorporating Micro Data into Macro Models Using Pseudo VARs
Wu, Ping & Koop, Gary & McIntyre, Stuart & Mitchell, James
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A Shock by Any Other Name? Reconsidering the Impacts of Local Demand Shocks
Wozniak, Abigail & Rinz, Kevin & Bassler, Sean & Wasser, David
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How Anchored Are Short-Run Inflation Expectations Today? A Look at What Consumers and Forecasters Are Telling Us
Rich, Robert W. & Cline, Alexander
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Factors Affecting Regional Bank Health and Supervisory Rating: An Exploration
Duffy, Denise & Healy, Christopher & Haubrich, Joseph G.
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How Will New Federal Requirements Affect Medicaid Expansion Enrollees in the Fourth District?
Huettner, Brett
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Fourth District Almanac 2026
Whitaker, Stephan D. & Huettner, Brett & Isler, Mitchell
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When Trade Compresses: The Impact of Liberalization on Wage Inequality
Kozeniauskas, Nicholas & Merga, Roman & Hernandez Martinez, Victor
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BLS Payroll Revisions: Forecasting Recessions
Quinlan, Rory G. & Pinheiro, Roberto
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Banking on Experience. Capital Reallocation, Asset Knowledge, and the Structure of Credit Contracts
Minetti, Raoul & Degryse, Hans & Cao, Qingqing & Kokas, Sotirios
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Kentucky’s International Trade Relationships
Moseley, Carol & Dunn, Julianne E.
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Ohio’s International Trade Relationships
Dunn, Julianne E. & Moseley, Carol
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SORCE Insights: Employment Conditions and Outlook for Fourth District Firms
Isler, Mitchell & Huettner, Brett
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Are Young College Graduates Losing Their Edge in the Job Market?
Cline, Alexander & Kaymak, Barış
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Opening Remarks at the 2025 Financial Stability Conference: Financial Stability in a Time of Rapid Economic and Technological Change
Hammack, Beth
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Monopsonistic Wage-setting and Monetary Policy
Sugioka, Yu & Kurozumi, Takushi & Van Zandweghe, Willem
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Balancing Act: The Dual Mandate on an Economic Tightrope
Hammack, Beth
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Forecasting US Recessions in Real-Time Using Regional Economic Sentiment
Mitchell, James & Garciga, Christian
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Has the Market’s Perception of the FOMC’s Reaction Function Changed since the Onset of the COVID-19 Pandemic?
Cline, Alexander & Jia, Chengcheng
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Preliminary SORCE Insights: How Are Firms Managing Rising Costs?
Moseley, Carol & Huettner, Brett
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State-Dependent Sticky Expectations: Evidence and Theory
Eva, Kenneth & Pfajfar, Damjan & Lamla, Michael J.
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Where Could Reshoring Manufacturers Find Workers?
Whitaker, Stephan D.
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Did Inflation Affect Households Differently? A Look at the Postpandemic Inflation and Wage Growth Dynamics
Walker, Christopher J. & Luduvice, Andre & Truss-Williams, Anaya
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SORCE Insights: Tariff-Related Uncertainty and Pass-Through to Pricing
Gerring, Jayme & Moseley, Carol & Whitaker, Stephan D.
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Safety in Schools and Neighborhoods
Sylvera, Craig
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Is There a Puzzle in Underwater Mortgage Default?
Yao, Yuxi & Loewenstein, Lara & Zhang, David Hao & Willen, Paul S.
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Understanding Inflation via Developments in Market and Nonmarket Inflation Rates
Verbrugge, Randal J. & Zaman, Saeed
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Looking for Workers to Fill In-Demand Jobs? The OME's Got You Covered
Fee, Kyle
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Hotspots: Investor-Owned Home Trends from Select Counties in Ohio and Pennsylvania (2018–2024)
Klesta, Matthew
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Neutral Interest Rates and the Monetary Policy Stance
Horn, Taylor N. & Zaman, Saeed
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Preliminary SORCE Insights: An Overview of Firms’ Capital Expenditure Plans and Inventories
Isler, Mitchell & Huettner, Brett