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Working Paper
Are children 'normal'?
Sanders, Seth G.; Kolesnikova, Natalia A.; Taylor, Lowell J.; Black, Dan A.
(2009)
In his classic work on the economics of fertility, Becker (1960) suggests that children are likely ?normal.? We examine this contention. Our first step is documenting an empirical regularity about the cross section of white married couples in the U.S.: when we restrict comparisons to households living in broadly similar locations (e.g., in expensive urban areas, or in rural areas), completed fertility is positively correlated with the husband?s income. Two alternative models rationalize the data?one in which children are ?normal? and a second in which the observed pattern emerges solely as a ...
Working Papers
, Paper 2008-040
Working Paper
Aviation security and terrorism: a review of the economic issues
Cohen, Jeffrey P.; Khan, Sarosh R.; Coughlin, Cletus C.
(2002)
Following the terrorist attacks on September 11, 2001, the passage of the Aviation and Transportation Act mandated a substantial increase in resources devoted to aviation security. This paper summarizes the specific changes stemming from this legislation. In addition, the paper examines the economic issues underlying the regulation and provision of aviation security. The fact that security at one airport can affect the well being of those at other airports and elsewhere, an example of a network externality (spillover), provides an economic justification for governmental involvement in ...
Working Papers
, Paper 2002-009
Working Paper
The Effects of Macroeconomic Shocks: Household Financial Distress Matters
Mustre-del-Rio, Jose; Sanchez, Juan M.; Mather, Ryan; Athreya, Kartik B.
(2023-09-11)
When a macroeconomic shock arrives, variation in household balance-sheet health (captured by the presence of financial distress “FD”), leads to differential access to credit, and hence a distribution of consumption responses. As we document, though, over the past two recessions, households in prior FD also experienced macroeconomic shocks more intensely than others, leading to a distribution of shock severity. Quantifying the importance of each dimension of heterogeneity (FD or shock severity) for consumption requires a structural model. We find that heterogeneity in FD matters more than ...
Working Papers
, Paper 2019-025
Working Paper
Credit Search and Credit Cycles
Wen, Yi; Dong, Feng; Wang, Pengfei
(2015-08-01)
The supply and demand of credit are not always well aligned and matched, as is reflected in the countercyclical excess reserve-to-deposit ratio and interest spread between the lending rate and the deposit rate. We develop a search-based theory of credit allocations to explain the cyclical fluctuations in both bank reserves and the interest spread. We show that search frictions in the credit market can not only naturally explain the countercyclical bank reserves and interest spread, but also generate endogenous business cycles driven primarily by the cyclical utilization rate of credit ...
Working Papers
, Paper 2015-23
Working Paper
Naive business cycle theory
Sargent, Thomas J.
(1975)
Working Papers
, Paper 23
Working Paper
Measuring the performance of banks: theory, practice, evidence, and some policy implications
Mester, Loretta J.; Hughes, Joseph P.
(2013)
The unique capital structure of commercial banking ? funding production with demandable debt that participates in the economy?s payments system ? affects various aspects of banking. It shapes banks? comparative advantage in providing financial products and services to informationally opaque customers, their ability to diversify credit and liquidity risk, and how they are regulated, including the need to obtain a charter to operate and explicit and implicit federal guarantees of bank liabilities to reduce the probability of bank runs. These aspects of banking affect a bank?s choice of risk vs. ...
Working Papers
, Paper 13-31
Working Paper
Localized Knowledge Spillovers: Evidence from the Spatial Clustering of R&D Labs and Patent Citations
Carlino, Gerald A.; Smith, Tony E.; Carr, Jake; Hunt, Robert M.; Buzard, Kristy
(2017-09-01)
SUPERCEDES EORKING PAPER 17-32 Buzard et al. (2017) show that American R&D labs are highly spatially concentrated even within a given metropolitan area. We argue that the geography of their clusters is better suited for studying knowledge spillovers than are states, metropolitan areas, or other political or administrative boundaries that have predominantly been used in previous studies. In this paper, we assign patents and citations to these newly defined clusters of R&D labs. Our tests show that the localization of knowledge spillovers, as measured via patent citations, is strongest at small ...
Working Papers
, Paper 19-42
Working Paper
Core measures of inflation as predictors of total inflation
Novak, Jason A.; Crone, Theodore M.; Khettry, N. Neil K.; Mester, Loretta J.
(2011)
Policymakers tend to focus on core inflation measures because they are thought to be better predictors of total inflation over time horizons of import to policymakers. The authors find little support for this assumption. While some measures of core inflation are less volatile than total inflation, core inflation is not necessarily the best predictor of total inflation. The relative forecasting performance of models using core inflation and those using only total inflation depends on the inflation measure and time horizon of the forecast. Unlike previous studies, the authors provide a measure ...
Working Papers
, Paper 11-24
Working Paper
The impact of managed care on the gender earnings gap among physicians
Modestino, Alicia Sasser
(2013)
Important differences in labor market characteristics suggest that men and women physicians may be viewed as imperfect substitutes in the labor market. Concerns about efficiency and cost-cutting, which have led to the adoption of managed care practices, may have (unintentionally) favored female physicians. Using data from the Young Physicians Survey, the author compares changes in the gender earnings gap for physicians in states with high versus low managed care growth during the 1980s. She finds that the gender gap in hourly earnings among physicians in states with high managed care growth ...
Working Papers
, Paper 13-1
Working Paper
Export-Led Decay: The Trade Channel in the Gold Standard Era
Pedemonte, Mathieu; Candia, Bernardo
(2021-11-08)
Flexible exchange rates can facilitate price adjustments that buffer macroeconomic shocks. We test this hypothesis using adjustments to the gold standard during the Great Depression. Using prices at the goods level, we estimate exchange rate pass-through. Using novel monthly data on city-level economic activity, combined with employment composition and sectoral export data, we show that American exporting cities were significantly affected by changes in bilateral exchange rates. With those results we calibrate a general equilibrium model to obtain aggregate effects from cross-sectional ...
Working Papers
, Paper 21-11r
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O30 6 items
R20 6 items
R51 6 items
A14 5 items
C31 5 items
D33 5 items
D42 5 items
D62 5 items
E66 5 items
E70 5 items
F22 5 items
F36 5 items
F5 5 items
F6 5 items
G1 5 items
G30 5 items
G31 5 items
G50 5 items
H3 5 items
J18 5 items
J26 5 items
K14 5 items
L52 5 items
L60 5 items
M41 5 items
R1 5 items
R2 5 items
B0 4 items
C43 4 items
C91 4 items
D41 4 items
D53 4 items
D8 4 items
E26 4 items
E7 4 items
F15 4 items
F3 4 items
F33 4 items
F45 4 items
G00 4 items
G29 4 items
G41 4 items
G5 4 items
H1 4 items
H32 4 items
I10 4 items
I26 4 items
I32 4 items
J38 4 items
L14 4 items
L22 4 items
M37 4 items
N1 4 items
N4 4 items
N90 4 items
O10 4 items
O15 4 items
O34 4 items
O43 4 items
P16 4 items
Q40 4 items
R13 4 items
R28 4 items
R33 4 items
R4 4 items
R40 4 items
A11 3 items
B4 3 items
C00 3 items
C1 3 items
C10 3 items
C21 3 items
C34 3 items
C41 3 items
C62 3 items
D03 3 items
D13 3 items
D4 3 items
D57 3 items
D71 3 items
D90 3 items
E0 3 items
E10 3 items
F40 3 items
F60 3 items
G38 3 items
G40 3 items
G53 3 items
H11 3 items
H52 3 items
H54 3 items
H55 3 items
H68 3 items
I11 3 items
I20 3 items
I30 3 items
J08 3 items
J28 3 items
J44 3 items
J46 3 items
J60 3 items
J7 3 items
J71 3 items
J78 3 items
K0 3 items
K21 3 items
L0 3 items
L1 3 items
L12 3 items
L2 3 items
L24 3 items
L5 3 items
N42 3 items
N50 3 items
N92 3 items
O13 3 items
O17 3 items
O24 3 items
O25 3 items
O57 3 items
Q31 3 items
Q33 3 items
Q51 3 items
Q53 3 items
R14 3 items
A1 2 items
B41 2 items
C18 2 items
C35 2 items
C46 2 items
C50 2 items
C60 2 items
D01 2 items
D02 2 items
D6 2 items
D70 2 items
D78 2 items
D9 2 items
E02 2 items
E49 2 items
E59 2 items
E69 2 items
F00 2 items
F02 2 items
F38 2 items
F50 2 items
F51 2 items
F63 2 items
G13 2 items
G3 2 items
G35 2 items
G52 2 items
H12 2 items
H23 2 items
H27 2 items
H4 2 items
H40 2 items
H43 2 items
H51 2 items
H6 2 items
H70 2 items
H74 2 items
H83 2 items
H87 2 items
I2 2 items
I21 2 items
J00 2 items
J01 2 items
J12 2 items
J42 2 items
J48 2 items
J68 2 items
K12 2 items
K40 2 items
L20 2 items
L23 2 items
L40 2 items
L50 2 items
L51 2 items
L62 2 items
L82 2 items
M13 2 items
M50 2 items
M52 2 items
N20 2 items
N32 2 items
N72 2 items
O14 2 items
O2 2 items
O23 2 items
P43 2 items
Q38 2 items
R0 2 items
R42 2 items
R5 2 items
R50 2 items
R52 2 items
R53 2 items
Z0 2 items
Z1 2 items
A13 1 items
B00 1 items
B1 1 items
B2 1 items
B23 1 items
C02 1 items
C2 1 items
C4 1 items
C44 1 items
C54 1 items
C67 1 items
C71 1 items
C80 1 items
C92 1 items
C93 1 items
D04 1 items
D19 1 items
D20 1 items
D23 1 items
D25 1 items
D3 1 items
D44 1 items
D45 1 items
D46 1 items
D47 1 items
D5 1 items
D50 1 items
D51 1 items
D7 1 items
D92 1 items
E03 1 items
E53 1 items
E64 1 items
F01 1 items
F17 1 items
F37 1 items
F52 1 items
F54 1 items
F55 1 items
F65 1 items
G0 1 items
G17 1 items
G4 1 items
H00 1 items
H22 1 items
H5 1 items
H57 1 items
H60 1 items
H62 1 items
H76 1 items
H8 1 items
H84 1 items
I25 1 items
I3 1 items
J0 1 items
J14 1 items
J40 1 items
J45 1 items
J51 1 items
K00 1 items
K10 1 items
K11 1 items
K22 1 items
K31 1 items
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FILTER BY Keywords
Monetary policy 337 items
Business cycles 184 items
Inflation (Finance) 113 items
COVID-19 97 items
Forecasting 94 items
Unemployment 94 items
Fiscal policy 85 items
Econometric models 80 items
Interest rates 76 items
Prices 68 items
Taxation 64 items
International trade 64 items
Foreign exchange rates 59 items
inflation 57 items
Housing 56 items
Productivity 54 items
Mortgages 51 items
human capital 50 items
inequality 49 items
Consumer credit 49 items
Regional economics 47 items
Credit 43 items
Risk 43 items
Banks and banking 41 items
Consumption (Economics) 41 items
Incomplete Markets 41 items
Labor market 41 items
Wages 41 items
Money supply 40 items
consumption 40 items
Macroeconomics 39 items
Money 39 items
Debt 39 items
time series analysis 38 items
Bank loans 37 items
Bankruptcy 37 items
Economic development 36 items
Financial crises 36 items
Credit cards 35 items
Employment 35 items
Foreign exchange 34 items
liquidity 34 items
Ramsey Problem 33 items
Default 33 items
Heterogeneous Agents 33 items
Education 32 items
Welfare 32 items
Trade 30 items
Rational expectations (Economic theory) 27 items
Phillips curve 27 items
Uncertainty 27 items
mortgage 27 items
Asset pricing 26 items
Bank failures 26 items
Employment (Economic theory) 26 items
Stock market 26 items
Labor supply 26 items
Monetary policy - United States 25 items
Production (Economic theory) 25 items
Regulation 25 items
Investments 24 items
Stock - Prices 24 items
Recessions 24 items
Banks and banking, Central 23 items
Financial markets 23 items
Income 23 items
Banks and banking - Costs 22 items
Inventories 22 items
Liquidity (Economics) 22 items
Deposit insurance 21 items
Great Recession 21 items
Real-time data 21 items
Capital 20 items
Competition 20 items
Mortgage loans 20 items
Vector autoregression 20 items
Bank reserves 19 items
Econometrics 19 items
Income distribution 19 items
Job Search 19 items
heterogeneity 19 items
Economies of scale 18 items
Federal Open Market Committee 18 items
Monetary theory 18 items
Payment systems 18 items
Petroleum industry and trade 18 items
Technology 18 items
Insurance 18 items
Quantitative Easing 18 items
vacancies 18 items
Bank capital 17 items
Bank mergers 17 items
Economic forecasting 17 items
Human behavior 17 items
Keynesian economics 17 items
Crises 17 items
Bank supervision 16 items
Risk management 16 items
Saving and investment 16 items
Tariff 16 items
discretion 16 items
Misallocation 16 items
Bank competition 15 items
Consumer behavior 15 items
Corporations - Finance 15 items
Default (Finance) 15 items
Foreclosure 15 items
Gross domestic product 15 items
International finance 15 items
Research and development 15 items
Structural VAR 15 items
machine learning 15 items
Depressions 14 items
Exports 14 items
Federal funds rate 14 items
Housing - Prices 14 items
financial frictions 14 items
government debt 14 items
Technology diffusion 14 items
financial crisis 14 items
mobility 14 items
Bonds 13 items
Expenditures, Public 13 items
Game theory 13 items
Mexico 13 items
Money theory 13 items
Patents 13 items
Sovereign Debt 13 items
Stock exchanges 13 items
banks 13 items
deficit 13 items
fintech 13 items
institutional design 13 items
political frictions 13 items
time-consistency 13 items
zero lower bound 13 items
emerging markets 13 items
Banking 12 items
Cities and towns 12 items
Contracts 12 items
Emigration and immigration 12 items
Equilibrium (Economics) 12 items
Latin America 12 items
Unemployment Insurance 12 items
Wealth 12 items
capital asset pricing model 12 items
credit constraints 12 items
economic conditions - United States 12 items
Immigration 12 items
fiscal multipliers 12 items
China 11 items
Country Risk 11 items
Immigrants 11 items
Social security 11 items
recession 11 items
Entrepreneurship 11 items
Discrimination in mortgage loans 10 items
Economic conditions 10 items
Economics 10 items
Federal Reserve 10 items
Federal Reserve System 10 items
Markov-switching 10 items
North American Free Trade Agreement 10 items
Sovereign default 10 items
Technology - Economic aspects 10 items
pandemic 10 items
Assets (Accounting) 9 items
Bayesian inference 9 items
Business cycles - Econometric models 9 items
Capital movements 9 items
Consumer price indexes 9 items
Demography 9 items
Gambling industry 9 items
Germany 9 items
Great Britain 9 items
Open market operations 9 items
Price levels 9 items
Real property 9 items
Subprime mortgage 9 items
consumer payments 9 items
credit supply 9 items
earnings dynamics 9 items
expectations 9 items
financial development 9 items
financial stability 9 items
inflation expectations 9 items
intellectual property rights 9 items
oil price 9 items
Argentina 8 items
Bank notes 8 items
Banking market 8 items
Capital Taxation 8 items
Debts, Public 8 items
Economic policy 8 items
Free trade 8 items
Home equity loans 8 items
Internet 8 items
Japan 8 items
Manufactures 8 items
Maturity 8 items
Population 8 items
Price Dispersion 8 items
Retirement 8 items
Securities 8 items
Stochastic analysis 8 items
Taylor's rule 8 items
Terrorism 8 items
austerity 8 items
bank lending 8 items
credit spreads 8 items
debt sustainability 8 items
endogenous growth 8 items
financial distress 8 items
fiscal rules 8 items
household finances 8 items
labor markets 8 items
pandemics 8 items
population dynamics 8 items
prediction 8 items
royalty payments 8 items
small business lending 8 items
stochastic volatility 8 items
venture capital 8 items
zombie firms 8 items
Aging 7 items
Altruism 7 items
Bank deposits 7 items
Bank holding companies 7 items
Bayesian VARs 7 items
Canada 7 items
Capital investments 7 items
Discount 7 items
Dollar, American 7 items
Finance 7 items
Financial institutions 7 items
Foreign exchange - Law and legislation 7 items
Futures 7 items
Gentrification 7 items
Geography 7 items
Housing - Finance 7 items
Industries 7 items
Investments, Foreign 7 items
Local transit 7 items
Pensions 7 items
Power resources 7 items
Power resources - Prices 7 items
R&D 7 items
Savings and loan associations 7 items
Sign Restrictions 7 items
Structural Vector Autoregressions 7 items
Supply and Demand Shocks 7 items
Uniform Pricing 7 items
Urban economics 7 items
banking panics 7 items
big data 7 items
bond markets 7 items
cluster analysis 7 items
contagion 7 items
convergence 7 items
credit card debt 7 items
effective lower bound 7 items
government transfers 7 items
identification 7 items
income inequality 7 items
investment 7 items
migration 7 items
military spending 7 items
racial disparities 7 items
spillovers 7 items
student loans 7 items
Asset-backed financing 6 items
Automated tellers 6 items
Bank investments 6 items
Banking structure 6 items
Bargaining 6 items
Bayesian estimation 6 items
Bayesian methods 6 items
Beveridge curve 6 items
Branch banks 6 items
Capital Flows 6 items
Clearinghouses (Banking) 6 items
Contracting out 6 items
Corporations 6 items
Costly Information 6 items
Credit scoring systems 6 items
Credit unions 6 items
European Economic Community 6 items
Financial services industry 6 items
Gini coefficients 6 items
Global financial crisis 6 items
Hedging (Finance) 6 items
IPO 6 items
Immiseration 6 items
Inflation targeting 6 items
Inflows 6 items
Information 6 items
Interstate banking 6 items
Investments, Foreign - United States 6 items
Loans 6 items
Macroeconomics - Econometric models 6 items
Macroprudential policy 6 items
Markets 6 items
Money demand 6 items
Multiple Applications 6 items
Nonlinearity 6 items
Nowcasting 6 items
Optimal Capital Taxation 6 items
Optimal Fiscal Policy 6 items
Optimal Public Debt 6 items
Outflows 6 items
Paycheck Protection Program 6 items
Philadelphia (Pa.) 6 items
Poverty 6 items
Pricing 6 items
Rate of return 6 items
Regression analysis 6 items
Rent 6 items
Retail trade 6 items
Search 6 items
Seasonal variations (Economics) 6 items
Stocks 6 items
Tax Smoothing 6 items
VAR 6 items
bank closures 6 items
credit scores 6 items
crime 6 items
event study 6 items
evergreening 6 items
exchange rates 6 items
factor models 6 items
firm dynamics 6 items
forward guidance 6 items
general equilibrium 6 items
growth 6 items
high-frequency data 6 items
inattention 6 items
intermediation 6 items
moral hazard 6 items
mortgage defaults 6 items
rational inattention 6 items
relationship lending 6 items
search frictions 6 items
startups 6 items
structural breaks 6 items
technology adoption 6 items
total factor productivity (TFP) 6 items
trade policy 6 items
wage dispersion 6 items
yield curves 6 items
Arbitrage 5 items
Asymmetry 5 items
Bank stocks 5 items
Basel capital accord 5 items
Bayesian statistical decision theory 5 items
Bretton Woods 5 items
Check collection systems 5 items
Checks 5 items
Consumers' preferences 5 items
Credit policy 5 items
Demand for money 5 items
Development 5 items
Economic growth 5 items
Economic history 5 items
Economic stabilization 5 items
Equilibrium (Economics) - Mathematical models 5 items
Equity 5 items
Exchange rate 5 items
Federal Reserve Act 5 items
Federal Reserve District, 3rd 5 items
Federal funds market (United States) 5 items
Fiscal Multiplier 5 items
Fiscal Policy and Household Behavior 5 items
Foreign aid program 5 items
GDP 5 items
Government securities 5 items
Government spending policy 5 items
Great Depression 5 items
Gross national product 5 items
Home ownership 5 items
Household saving 5 items
Industrial location 5 items
Instrumental Variables 5 items
Intermediation (Finance) 5 items
International business enterprises 5 items
Labor productivity 5 items
Labor turnover 5 items
Markov processes 5 items
Medical care 5 items
Microeconomics 5 items
Modified Golden Rule 5 items
Monopolies 5 items
Monopoly 5 items
Obesity 5 items
Optimal taxation 5 items
Output growth 5 items
Panic of 1907 5 items
Restructuring 5 items
Seigniorage 5 items
Transparency 5 items
Velocity of money 5 items
Women - Employment 5 items
amenities 5 items
bank runs 5 items
capital gains taxation 5 items
central bank 5 items
contract enforcement 5 items
credit access 5 items
credit performance 5 items
demographics 5 items
downside risk 5 items
dynamic contracts 5 items
evaluating 5 items
federal funds rates 5 items
foreclosures 5 items
funding rounds 5 items
gasoline price 5 items
good deal 5 items
heterogeneous households 5 items
hours 5 items
housing prices 5 items
identity theft 5 items
immigration policy 5 items
inference 5 items
innovation 5 items
large-scale asset purchases 5 items
leverage 5 items
life cycle economies 5 items
life expectancy 5 items
local-spillover decomposition 5 items
marketplace lending 5 items
monetary policy transmission 5 items
monitoring 5 items
mortality 5 items
nominal GDP targeting 5 items
oil 5 items
out-of-sample 5 items
policy 5 items
skewness 5 items
small business finance 5 items
social insurance 5 items
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