Search Results
Showing results 1 to 2 of approximately 2.
(refine search)
COVID-19: What Do FREDcast Users Think about Economic Growth?
Professional forecasts abound, but what does the general public think will happen with the economy?
Speech
The Economic Outlook – and Two Risks to the Forecast that are Worth Watching
Private forecasters and FOMC participants anticipate a good outcome for the economy in 2020 and beyond, with low inflation and strong labor markets. However, as with any forecast, there are risk scenarios that are not captured in the most likely outcome for the economy. I have highlighted two potential risks that I will be monitoring this year – inflation picking up more than currently expected; and asset prices, particularly real estate prices, showing evidence of more acute financial stability risks. To be fair, there are also downside risks to the economic outlook, as well – primarily ...