Working Paper
Measuring News Sentiment
Sudhof, Moritz; Wilson, Daniel J.; Shapiro, Adam Hale (2020-03-13)
This paper demonstrates state-of-the-art text sentiment analysis tools while developing a new time-series measure of economic sentiment derived from economic and financial newspaper articles from January 1980 to April 2015. We compare the predictive accuracy of a large set of sentiment analysis models using a sample of articles that have been rated by humans on a positivity/negativity scale. The results highlight the gains from combining existing lexicons and from accounting for negation. We also generate our own sentiment-scoring model, which includes a new lexicon built specifically to ...
Working Paper Series , Paper 2017-1

Journal Article
At the Richmond Fed: The CFO Survey
Wells, Matthew (2022-10)
Every quarter, The CFO Survey collects the views of chief financial officers and other financial leaders throughout the United States, gathering insight into their firms' financial outlook and concerns, as well as their perceptions of the economy. The survey, which is a collaboration among the Richmond Fed, the Atlanta Fed, and the Fuqua School of Business at Duke University, meets a crucial need for policymakers who rely on real-time data from businesses of all sizes when making decisions, especially during volatile times. "In this period of uncertainty, a business survey like this has been ...
Econ Focus , Volume 22 , Issue 4Q , Pages 3