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Speech
Economic outlook : a speech at the Blair County Chamber of Commerce Breakfast Club, Altoona, PA, June 11, 2010
Plosser, Charles I. (2010-06-11)
Presented by Charles I. Plosser, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. ; Blair County Chamber of Commerce Breakfast Club, Altoona, PA, June 11, 2010
Speech , Paper 40

Speech
The road to recovery: Brooklyn
Dudley, William (2011)
Remarks by President Dudley at the Brooklyn Chamber of Commerce Brooklyn Borough Hall, Brooklyn, New York.
Speech , Paper 58

Journal Article
Manufacturing survey: August activity slips from July surge
Rogers, R. Mark; Mancuso, Whitney (1997-07)
Regional Update , Issue Jul , Pages 6-7

Journal Article
The domestic economy in transition
anonymous (1967-05)
Review , Volume 49 , Issue May , Pages 8-12

Journal Article
The 2001 recession: how was it different and what developments may have caused it?
Kliesen, Kevin L. (2003-09)
The 2001 recession was unique in several respects. For instance, the peak-to-trough decline in real gross domestic product was one of the smallest on record and its duration was slightly shorter than average. This article examines some of the other unique features of the 2001 recession compared with the ?average? post-World War II recession. The author also shows that forecasters were surprised by the onset of the recession, perhaps because of incomplete data available to them in real time. Finally, the article examines the errors from a well-known macroeconomic forecast and finds that ...
Review , Volume 85 , Issue Sep , Pages 23-38

Report
What was behind the M2 breakdown?
Peristiani, Stavros; Robinson, Kenneth J.; Lown, Cara S. (1999)
A deterioration in the link between the M2 monetary aggregate and GDP, along with large errors in predicting M2 growth, led the Board of Governors to downgrade the M2 aggregate as a reliable indicator of monetary policy in 1993. In this paper, we argue that the financial condition of depository institutions was a major factor behind the unusual pattern of M2 growth in the early 1990s. By constructing alternative measures of M2 based on banks? and thrifts? capital positions, we show that the anomalous behavior of M2 in the early 1990s disappears. Specifically, after accounting for the effect ...
Staff Reports , Paper 83

Report
The term structure as a predictor of real economic activity
Estrella, Arturo; Hardouvelis, Gikas A. (1989)
Research Paper , Paper 8907

Journal Article
Comments on 1997 benchmark revisions to regional employment data
Takada, Yukiko (1998-04)
New England Economic Indicators , Issue Apr , Pages 23-28

Speech
Regional economy and manufacturing update
Dudley, William (2010)
Remarks at the Quarterly Regional Economic Press Briefing, New York City.
Speech , Paper 28

Report
Rethinking the measurement of household inflation expectations: preliminary findings
Topa, Giorgio; Potter, Simon M.; Bruine de Bruin, Wändi; Bryan, Michael F.; Van der Klaauw, Wilbert (2008)
This paper reports preliminary findings from a Federal Reserve Bank of New York research program aimed at improving survey measures of inflation expectations. We find that seemingly small differences in how inflation is referred to in a survey can lead respondents to consider significantly different price concepts. For near-term inflation, the "prices in general" question in the monthly Reuters/University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers can elicit responses that focus on the most visible prices, such as gasoline or food. Questions on the "rate of inflation" can lead to responses on the ...
Staff Reports , Paper 359

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