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Working Paper
Household inflation experiences in the U.S.: a comprehensive approach
Mayer, Kristin; Stennis, Carter; Topa, Giorgio; Hobijn, Bart
(2009)
We present new measures of household-specific inflation experiences based on comprehensive information from the Consumer Expenditure Survey (CEX). We match households in the Interview and the Diary Surveys from the CEX to produce both complete and detailed pictures of household expenditures. The resulting household inflation measures are based on a more accurate and detailed description of household expenditures than those previously available. We find that our household-based inflation measures track aggregate measures such as the CPI-U quite well and that the addition of Diary Survey data ...
Working Paper Series
, Paper 2009-19
Working Paper
Using a projection method to analyze inflation bias in a micro-founded model
Anderson, Gary S.; Kim, Jinill; Yun, Tack
(2010)
Since Kydland and Prescott (1977) and Barro and Gordon (1983), most studies of the problem of the inflation bias associated with discretionary monetary policy have assumed a quadratic loss function. We depart from the conventional linear-quadratic approach to the problem in favor of a projection method approach. We investigate the size of the inflation bias that arises in a microfounded nonlinear environment with Calvo price setting. The inflation bias is found to lie between 1% and 6% for a reasonable range of parameter values, when the bias is defined as the steady-state deviation of the ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2010-18
Speech
Improving the measurement of inflation expectations
Potter, Simon M.
(2012)
Remarks at the Barclays 16th Annual Global Inflation-Linked Conference, New York City.
Speech
, Paper 84
Working Paper
Core measures of inflation as predictors of total inflation
Novak, Jason A.; Crone, Theodore M.; Khettry, N. Neil K.; Mester, Loretta J.
(2011)
Policymakers tend to focus on core inflation measures because they are thought to be better predictors of total inflation over time horizons of import to policymakers. The authors find little support for this assumption. While some measures of core inflation are less volatile than total inflation, core inflation is not necessarily the best predictor of total inflation. The relative forecasting performance of models using core inflation and those using only total inflation depends on the inflation measure and time horizon of the forecast. Unlike previous studies, the authors provide a measure ...
Working Papers
, Paper 11-24
Report
Price stability: why we seek it and how best to achieve it
Pianalto, Sandra
(2010)
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Sandra Pianalto explains why price stability is essential for maximum employment and how the adoption of a numerical target for inflation may improve the central bank?s ability to achieve both objectives. Find the essay, along with Frequently Asked Questions about inflation.
Annual Report
Working Paper
Stock returns and inflation: further tests of the role of the central bank
Robinson, Kenneth J.; Ely, David P.
(1991)
Financial Industry Studies Working Paper
, Paper 91-1
Conference Paper
Inflation expectations, uncertainty, the Phillips curve, and monetary policy - comments
Kiley, Michael T.
(2008)
Historical experience suggests an important role for some deviation from the most restricted form of rational expectations in inflation dynamics, but also shows that other aspects of sluggish price adjustment, such as nominal rigidities, are important; and the available indicators of inflation expectations show that imperfect information regarding central bank intentions has been one source of inertia in inflation expectations.
Conference Series ; [Proceedings]
Journal Article
Trend inflation, firm-specific capital, and sticky prices
Wolman, Alexander L.; Hornstein, Andreas
(2005-10)
Economic Quarterly
, Volume 91
, Issue Fall
, Pages 57-83
Speech
Challenges for policymaking in a changing global economy
Yellen, Janet L.
(2005)
Presentation to the Bank of Korea?s International Conference 2005 on The Effectiveness of Stabilization Policies, Seoul, Korea, May 27, 2005
Speech
, Paper 8
Journal Article
Is there a stable relationship between capacity utilization and inflation?
Emery, Kenneth M.; Chang, Chih-Ping
(1997-01)
Many policymakers and financial market participants use the Federal Reserve's industrial capacity utilization rate as an indicator of future changes in inflation. During the past few years, however, the usefulness of the utilization rate as an inflation indicator has come under scrutiny. ; In this article, Kenneth Emery and Chih-Ping Chang examine capacity utilization's power to predict changes in inflation, with a focus on whether the relationship is stable over time. They find that while there was a positive forecasting relationship between capacity utilization and changes in consumer price ...
Economic and Financial Policy Review
, Issue Q I
, Pages 14-20
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