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Supply-Chain Woes, Labor Shortages and COVID-19 Slow Resilient Texas Economy
Regional economic growth has slowed, though it remains robust by historical standards. While demand has improved from year-ago levels, supply-chain disruptions and labor shortages have limited output growth and pushed up wages and prices.
Moderate Wage Growth Spurs Search for ‘Hidden Slack’ in Labor Market
In recent years, much has been made about the idea of hidden slack—unused labor capacity not captured by the unemployment rate.
Global Perspectives: Richard Haass on Russia, China and Multilateralism
Richard Haass—a veteran diplomat, prominent voice on American foreign policy and established leader of nonprofit institutions—and Dallas Fed President Robert S. Kaplan discussed the end of the Cold War, Russia, China and contemporary challenges.
Dallas Fed Energy Survey Results Point to Bleak Outlook for Oil Industry
The price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil has plunged more than 50 percent since the start of the year as the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has taken hold and a dispute between energy giants Saudi Arabia and Russia threatens to flood the market with crude oil.
Another Benefit of Trimming: Smaller Inflation Revisions
With the Dallas Fed’s Trimmed Mean Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation rate, what you see in real time is closer to what you get after revision than is the case with the more conventional measure of core inflation, PCE excluding food and energy.
Global Perspectives: Tom Hoenig on the Costs of COVID-19, Modern Monetary Theory and Fed Leadership
Hoenig and Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan discussed Hoenig’s views on the costs of the current crisis, potential solutions and the elements of effective leadership at the Fed.
Texas Economy Soft in January, but Outlook Optimistic for Later in 2021
Regional economic conditions appeared to deteriorate in January after picking up at year-end, data show. Nonetheless, there is optimism regarding the outlook for growth later this year.
Average Inflation over the Pandemic Avoids 'Base-Effect' Distortions
Since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic early last year, the nation has seen enormous swings in consumer prices, with extraordinary declines last spring giving way to similarly eye-popping increases as the economy has reopened.
Effects of COVID-19 on Tourism, Energy Weigh on Texas, New Mexico, Louisiana
Economic performance within the individual states of the Eleventh District reflected those states’ underlying relative dependence on the tourism and energy sectors and the effects of restrictions on mobility and engagement during COVID-19.
Global Perspectives: John B. Taylor on the Taylor Rule, Accommodative Policy, Low Interest Rates and Expanded Central Bank Mandates
Taylor and Dallas Fed President Robert S. Kaplan discussed the origins of the Taylor Rule, the dangers of holding monetary policy too accommodative for too long, the distributional effects of low interest rates and expanded central bank mandates.