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Resolving “Too Big to Fail”
Cetorelli, Nicola; Traina, James
(2018-06-01)
Using a synthetic control research design, we find that ?living will? regulation increases a bank?s annual cost of capital by 22 basis points, or 10 percent of total funding costs. This effect is stronger in banks that were measured as systemically important before the regulation?s announcement. We interpret our findings as a reduction in ?too big to fail? subsidies. The size of this effect is large: a back-of-the-envelope calculation implies a subsidy reduction of $42 billion annually. The impact on equity costs drives the main effect. The impact on deposit costs is statistically ...
Staff Reports
, Paper 859
Report
Inflation persistence: alternative interpretations and policy implications
Sbordone, Argia M.
(2007-05-01)
In this paper, I consider the policy implications of two alternative structural interpretations of observed inflation persistence, which correspond to two alternative specifications of the new Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC). The first specification allows for some degree of intrinsic persistence by way of a lagged inflation term in the NKPC. The second is a purely forward-looking model, in which expectations farther into the future matter and coefficients are time-varying. In this specification, most of the observed inflation persistence is attributed to fluctuations in the underlying ...
Staff Reports
, Paper 286
Report
Corporate governance and banks: what have we learned from the financial crisis?
Morrison, Alan; Shapiro, Joel; Mehran, Hamid
(2011)
Recent academic work and policy analysis give insight into the governance problems exposed by the financial crisis and suggest possible solutions. We begin this paper by explaining why governance of banks differs from governance of nonfinancial firms. We then look at four areas of governance: executive compensation, boards, risk management, and market discipline. We discuss promising solutions and areas where further research is needed.
Staff Reports
, Paper 502
Report
Liquidity in U.S. fixed income markets: a comparison of the bid-ask spread in corporate, government and municipal bond markets
Sarkar, Asani; Chakravarty, Sugato
(1999)
We examine the determinants of the realized bid-ask spread in the U.S. corporate, municipal and government bond markets for the years 1995 to 1997, based on newly available transactions data. Overall, we find that liquidity is an important determinant of the realized bid-ask spread in all three markets. Specifically, in all markets, the realized bid-ask spread decreases in the trading volume. Additionally, risk factors are important in the corporate and municipal markets. In these markets, the bid-ask spread increases in the remaining-time-to maturity of a bond. The corporate bond spread also ...
Staff Reports
, Paper 73
Report
The impact of network size on bank branch performance
Hirtle, Beverly
(2005)
Despite recent innovations that might have reduced banks' reliance on brick-and-mortar branches for distributing retail financial services, the number of U.S. bank branches has continued to increase steadily over time. Further, an increasing percentage of these branches are held by banks with large branch networks. This paper assesses the implications of these developments by examining a series of simple branch performance measures and asking how these measures vary, on average, across institutions with different branch network sizes. The key findings are that banks with 100 to 500 branches ...
Staff Reports
, Paper 211
Report
Specialization and the volume of trade: do the data obey the laws?
Harrigan, James
(2001-11-01)
The core subjects of trade theory are the pattern and volume of trade: which goods are traded by which countries, and how much of those goods are traded. The first part of this paper discusses evidence on comparative advantage, with an emphasis on carefully connecting theoretical models with data analyses. The second part of the paper considers the theoretical foundations of the gravity model and reviews the small number of studies that have tried to test, rather than simply use, the implications of gravity. Both parts of the paper yield the same conclusion: we are still in the very early ...
Staff Reports
, Paper 140
Report
New evidence on the lending channel
Ashcraft, Adam B.
(2001)
Do banks play a special role in the transmission mechanism of monetary policy? I use the presence of internal capital markets in bank holding companies to isolate plausibly exogenous variation in the financial constraints faced by subsidiary banks. In particular, I demonstrate that affiliated bank loan growth is less sensitive to changes in the federal funds rate than that of unaffiliated banks, and that these relatively unconstrained banks are better able to smooth insured deposit outflows by issuing uninsured debt. State loan growth also becomes less sensitive to changes in the federal ...
Staff Reports
, Paper 136
Report
Propensity score matching, a distance-based measure of migration, and the wage growth of young men
Li, Xianghong; Ham, John C.; Reagan, Patricia
(2005)
This paper estimates the effect of U.S. internal migration on real wage growth between the movers' first and second jobs. Our analysis of migration differs from previous research in three important aspects. First, we exploit the confidential geocoding in the National Longitudinal Surveys of Youth 1979 (NLSY79) to obtain a distance-based measure. Second, we let the effect of migration on wage growth differ by schooling level. Third, we use propensity score matching to measure the effect of migration on the wages of those who move. ; We develop an economic model and use it to (i) assess the ...
Staff Reports
, Paper 212
Report
Payday holiday: how households fare after payday credit bans
Strain, Michael R.; Morgan, Donald P.
(2007)
Payday loans are widely condemned as a ?predatory debt trap.? We test that claim by researching how households in Georgia and North Carolina have fared since those states banned payday loans in May 2004 and December 2005. Compared with households in all other states, households in Georgia have bounced more checks, complained more to the Federal Trade Commission about lenders and debt collectors, and filed for Chapter 7 bankruptcy protection at a higher rate. North Carolina households have fared about the same. This negative correlation?reduced payday credit supply, increased credit ...
Staff Reports
, Paper 309
Report
A Bayesian Approach to Inference on Probabilistic Surveys
Del Negro, Marco; Casarin, Roberto; Bassetti, Federico
(2022-07-01)
We propose a nonparametric Bayesian approach for conducting inference on probabilistic surveys. We use this approach to study whether U.S. Survey of Professional Forecasters density projections for output growth and inflation are consistent with the noisy rational expectations hypothesis. We find that in contrast to theory, for horizons close to two years, there is no relationship whatsoever between subjective uncertainty and forecast accuracy for output growth density projections, both across forecasters and over time, and only a mild relationship for inflation projections. As the horizon ...
Staff Reports
, Paper 1025
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F65 1 items
G29 1 items
G40 1 items
G5 1 items
H0 1 items
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H24 1 items
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H6 1 items
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liquidity 32 items
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Financial crises 30 items
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COVID-19 24 items
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time series analysis 22 items
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financial stability 22 items
systemic risk 22 items
Intermediation (Finance) 19 items
Stock - Prices 19 items
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inflation 17 items
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banks 16 items
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International finance 15 items
Prices 15 items
unemployment 15 items
financial crisis 14 items
financial intermediation 14 items
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regulation 12 items
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exchange rates 11 items
financial frictions 11 items
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expectations 9 items
heterogeneity 9 items
money market funds 9 items
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corporate bonds 9 items
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college majors 8 items
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options 8 items
repo 8 items
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subjective expectations 8 items
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forward guidance 7 items
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banking 6 items
capital flows 6 items
capital regulations 6 items
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learning 6 items
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monetary policy transmission 6 items
money markets 6 items
mortgage 6 items
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trade 6 items
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asset prices 5 items
bank regulation 5 items
consumption 5 items
cost of capital 5 items
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federal stimulus 5 items
firm dynamics 5 items
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bank 4 items
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internal capital markets 4 items
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transmission 4 items
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risk taking 3 items
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spillovers 3 items
supply chains 3 items
term premiums 3 items
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Financial Institutions Reform, Recovery, Enforcement Act of 1989 2 items
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Interest 2 items
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Reward (Psychology) 2 items
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Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) 2 items
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U.S. Treasury 2 items
United States 2 items
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adjustable-rate mortgages 2 items
adverse selection 2 items
aggregate shocks 2 items
announcements 2 items
bailout 2 items
balance sheet constraints 2 items
bank complexity 2 items
bank credit 2 items
bank holding company 2 items
bank performance 2 items
bank risk 2 items
bank run 2 items
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beliefs 2 items
beta 2 items
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bond liquidity 2 items
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