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Report
Tight credit conditions continue to constrain the housing recovery
Willen, Paul S.; Rappaport, Jordan
(2014-07-07)
The expansion of Federal Housing Administration lending has let households with imperfect credit or the inability to make a large down payment maintain access to mortgage borrowing. Rather than excluding such households, lenders have been applying strict underwriting conditions on all borrowers. Clarifying what constitutes approved lending may help relax credit conditions with minimal increase in risk.
Current Policy Perspectives
, Paper 141
Report
How Do Households Respond to Income Shocks?
Krueger, Dirk; Malkov, Egor; Perri, Fabrizio
(2023-12-05)
We use panel data from the Italian Survey of Household Income and Wealth from 1991 to 2016 to document empirically what components of the household budget constraint change in response to shocks to household labor income, both over shorter and over longer horizons. We show that shocks to labor income are associated with negligible changes in transfers and non-labor income components, modest changes in consumption expenditures, and large changes in wealth. We then split the sample in households which do not own business or real estate wealth, and households who do. For the first group, we find ...
Staff Report
, Paper 655
Report
Do banks follow their customers abroad?
Nolle, Daniel E.; Seth, Rama
(1996)
The market share of U.S. business loans made by foreign-owned banks has increased dramatically since 1980. At the same time, foreign direct investment in the U.S. rose, so that much of the increase in foreign-owned U.S.-based bank lending to businesses in the U.S. could conceivably be accounted for by an increase in loans to the U.S. affiliates of firms headquartered abroad, an expectation in line with the conventional wisdom that bans "follow their customers" abroad. Our study investigates the lending patterns of U.S.-based banks from Japan, Canada, France, Germany, the Netherlands, and ...
Research Paper
, Paper 9620
Report
Regulatory evaluation of value-at-risk models
Lopez, Jose A.
(1997)
Beginning in 1998, commercial banks may determine their regulatory capital requirements for market risk exposure using value-at-risk (VaR) models; i.e., time-series models of the distributions of portfolio returns. Currently, regulators have available three statistical methods for evaluating the accuracy of VaR models: the binomial method, the interval forecast method, and the distribution forecast method. These methods test whether the VaR forecasts in question exhibit properties characteristics of accurate VaR forecasts. However, the statistical tests can have low power against alternative ...
Research Paper
, Paper 9710
Report
Price stability: why we seek it and how best to achieve it
Pianalto, Sandra
(2010)
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Sandra Pianalto explains why price stability is essential for maximum employment and how the adoption of a numerical target for inflation may improve the central bank?s ability to achieve both objectives. Find the essay, along with Frequently Asked Questions about inflation.
Annual Report
Report
Instrumental variables procedures for estimating linear rational expectations models
Hansen, Lars Peter; Sargent, Thomas J.
(1981)
A prediction formula for geometrically declining sums of future forcing variables is derived for models in which the forcing variables are generated by a vector autoregressive-moving average process. This formula is useful in deducing and characterizing cross-equation restrictions implied by linear rational expectations models.
Staff Report
, Paper 70
Report
Engineering a paradox of thrift recession
Rios-Rull, Jose-Victor; Huo, Zhen
(2012)
We build a variation of the neoclassical growth model in which financial shocks to households or wealth shocks (in the sense of wealth destruction) generate recessions. Two standard ingredients that are necessary are (1) the existence of adjustment costs that make the expansion of the tradable goods sector difficult and (2) the existence of some frictions in the labor market that prevent enormous reductions in real wages (Nash bargaining in Mortensen-Pissarides labor markets is enough). We pose a new ingredient that greatly magnifies the recession: a reduction in consumption expenditures ...
Staff Report
, Paper 478
Report
Resolving “Too Big to Fail”
Cetorelli, Nicola; Traina, James
(2018-06-01)
Using a synthetic control research design, we find that ?living will? regulation increases a bank?s annual cost of capital by 22 basis points, or 10 percent of total funding costs. This effect is stronger in banks that were measured as systemically important before the regulation?s announcement. We interpret our findings as a reduction in ?too big to fail? subsidies. The size of this effect is large: a back-of-the-envelope calculation implies a subsidy reduction of $42 billion annually. The impact on equity costs drives the main effect. The impact on deposit costs is statistically ...
Staff Reports
, Paper 859
Report
Inflation persistence: alternative interpretations and policy implications
Sbordone, Argia M.
(2007-05-01)
In this paper, I consider the policy implications of two alternative structural interpretations of observed inflation persistence, which correspond to two alternative specifications of the new Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC). The first specification allows for some degree of intrinsic persistence by way of a lagged inflation term in the NKPC. The second is a purely forward-looking model, in which expectations farther into the future matter and coefficients are time-varying. In this specification, most of the observed inflation persistence is attributed to fluctuations in the underlying ...
Staff Reports
, Paper 286
Report
Corporate governance and banks: what have we learned from the financial crisis?
Morrison, Alan; Shapiro, Joel; Mehran, Hamid
(2011)
Recent academic work and policy analysis give insight into the governance problems exposed by the financial crisis and suggest possible solutions. We begin this paper by explaining why governance of banks differs from governance of nonfinancial firms. We then look at four areas of governance: executive compensation, boards, risk management, and market discipline. We discuss promising solutions and areas where further research is needed.
Staff Reports
, Paper 502
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D44 2 items
D47 2 items
D52 2 items
D80 2 items
E0 2 items
E10 2 items
E12 2 items
E2 2 items
E47 2 items
E69 2 items
F43 2 items
F47 2 items
G02 2 items
G31 2 items
H24 2 items
H3 2 items
H30 2 items
H52 2 items
H62 2 items
H7 2 items
H71 2 items
H74 2 items
I00 2 items
I1 2 items
I10 2 items
I31 2 items
J0 2 items
J12 2 items
J18 2 items
J3 2 items
J32 2 items
J40 2 items
J6 2 items
J69 2 items
K31 2 items
L00 2 items
L1 2 items
L12 2 items
L13 2 items
L16 2 items
L20 2 items
L23 2 items
L50 2 items
L60 2 items
L62 2 items
N1 2 items
O16 2 items
O24 2 items
O31 2 items
R13 2 items
R51 2 items
A10 1 items
A14 1 items
A20 1 items
B40 1 items
B41 1 items
C01 1 items
C02 1 items
C16 1 items
C18 1 items
C2 1 items
C20 1 items
C3 1 items
C30 1 items
C38 1 items
C40 1 items
C42 1 items
C50 1 items
C59 1 items
C68 1 items
C7 1 items
C90 1 items
C92 1 items
D0 1 items
D01 1 items
D04 1 items
D1 1 items
D10 1 items
D19 1 items
D20 1 items
D33 1 items
D42 1 items
D51 1 items
D57 1 items
D58 1 items
D61 1 items
D90 1 items
E16 1 items
E25 1 items
E26 1 items
E39 1 items
E53 1 items
F11 1 items
F15 1 items
F17 1 items
F20 1 items
F29 1 items
F35 1 items
F39 1 items
F51 1 items
F53 1 items
F6 1 items
F60 1 items
F63 1 items
F65 1 items
F66 1 items
G29 1 items
G40 1 items
G5 1 items
H0 1 items
H10 1 items
H11 1 items
H22 1 items
H32 1 items
H43 1 items
H53 1 items
H54 1 items
H6 1 items
H73 1 items
H77 1 items
I11 1 items
I14 1 items
I15 1 items
I25 1 items
I26 1 items
I30 1 items
I32 1 items
I38 1 items
J08 1 items
J13 1 items
J14 1 items
J19 1 items
J33 1 items
J45 1 items
J46 1 items
J48 1 items
J80 1 items
J88 1 items
K1 1 items
K10 1 items
K11 1 items
K21 1 items
K23 1 items
K30 1 items
K42 1 items
L0 1 items
L15 1 items
L2 1 items
L22 1 items
L38 1 items
L43 1 items
L5 1 items
L6 1 items
L65 1 items
L80 1 items
L84 1 items
L86 1 items
L89 1 items
L92 1 items
L97 1 items
M12 1 items
M30 1 items
M54 1 items
N0 1 items
N10 1 items
N13 1 items
N14 1 items
N2 1 items
N24 1 items
N33 1 items
N90 1 items
O00 1 items
O12 1 items
O14 1 items
O19 1 items
O3 1 items
O36 1 items
O38 1 items
O5 1 items
O51 1 items
O52 1 items
O57 1 items
Q5 1 items
Q51 1 items
Q58 1 items
Q59 1 items
R0 1 items
R1 1 items
R19 1 items
R2 1 items
R20 1 items
R50 1 items
R58 1 items
Z10 1 items
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FILTER BY Keywords
Monetary policy 201 items
COVID-19 91 items
Business cycles 89 items
Interest rates 84 items
Econometric models 78 items
Inflation (Finance) 69 items
Foreign exchange rates 59 items
Wages 50 items
International trade 48 items
Liquidity (Economics) 46 items
Forecasting 46 items
Risk 45 items
Fiscal policy 45 items
Financial crises 43 items
Productivity 43 items
Stock - Prices 40 items
liquidity 37 items
Consumption (Economics) 36 items
Banks and banking, Central 35 items
Taxation 34 items
Stock market 32 items
Prices 30 items
Unemployment 30 items
time series analysis 29 items
inflation 29 items
Economic development 27 items
Credit 26 items
International finance 26 items
Asset pricing 26 items
financial stability 26 items
Bank loans 25 items
Banks and banking 24 items
Labor market 24 items
Bank capital 24 items
Mortgages 24 items
systemic risk 24 items
Bonds 23 items
Competition 23 items
Corporations - Finance 23 items
Equilibrium (Economics) 23 items
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 22 items
Income 22 items
Macroeconomics 22 items
Debt 22 items
Education 22 items
Employment 22 items
Income distribution 20 items
Investments 20 items
Money 20 items
Economic indicators 19 items
Foreign exchange 19 items
Intermediation (Finance) 19 items
Futures 18 items
Open market operations 18 items
Securities 18 items
Human capital 18 items
Uncertainty 18 items
regulation 18 items
Debts, External 17 items
Depressions 17 items
Developing countries 17 items
Economic policy 17 items
Financial markets 17 items
Recessions 17 items
banks 17 items
Bank supervision 17 items
inequality 17 items
Capital movements 16 items
Econometrics 16 items
Federal Reserve System 16 items
Manufactures 16 items
Production (Economic theory) 16 items
Saving and investment 16 items
credit cards 16 items
Financial leverage 15 items
Government securities 15 items
Imports 15 items
Technology 15 items
Wealth 15 items
financial crisis 15 items
Corporate bonds 15 items
Bank reserves 14 items
Labor productivity 14 items
Labor supply 14 items
Money supply 14 items
New England 14 items
Payment systems 14 items
financial intermediation 14 items
Bank holding companies 13 items
DSGE models 13 items
Dollar, American 13 items
Federal Open Market Committee 13 items
Federal funds market (United States) 13 items
Industrial capacity 13 items
Swaps (Finance) 13 items
exchange rates 13 items
options 13 items
Bank liquidity 12 items
Capital investments 12 items
Capital market 12 items
Exports 12 items
Game theory 12 items
Japan 12 items
NEPPC 12 items
financial frictions 12 items
technological innovations 12 items
Trade 12 items
Bank management 11 items
COVID 11 items
Consumer credit 11 items
Deposit insurance 11 items
Expenditures, Public 11 items
Great Recession 11 items
Gross domestic product 11 items
Inventories 11 items
Monetary policy - United States 11 items
cash 11 items
consumption 11 items
housing 11 items
Bank competition 10 items
Branch banks 10 items
Business cycles - Econometric models 10 items
Consumer behavior 10 items
Demography 10 items
Diary of Consumer Payment Choice 10 items
European Monetary System (Organization) 10 items
Federal funds rate 10 items
Financial institutions 10 items
Industrial productivity 10 items
Industries 10 items
Investments, Foreign 10 items
Latin America 10 items
Repurchase agreements 10 items
Stochastic analysis 10 items
Survey of Consumer Payment Choice 10 items
Treasury bonds 10 items
Welfare 10 items
Assets (Accounting) 9 items
Capital 9 items
Consolidation and merger of corporations 9 items
Economic forecasting 9 items
Federal Reserve lending facilities 9 items
Financial risk management 9 items
Great Britain 9 items
Hedging (Finance) 9 items
Rate of return 9 items
Subprime mortgage 9 items
expectations 9 items
heterogeneity 9 items
money market funds 9 items
prepaid cards 9 items
firm dynamics 9 items
Balance of payments 8 items
Bank failures 8 items
Bank investments 8 items
Bank mergers 8 items
Banking law 8 items
Corporate governance 8 items
Default (Finance) 8 items
Economic conditions 8 items
Electronic funds transfers 8 items
Federal Reserve District, 12th 8 items
Insurance industry 8 items
Loans, Foreign 8 items
Price levels 8 items
Stocks - Rate of return 8 items
Vector autoregression 8 items
checking accounts 8 items
checks 8 items
college majors 8 items
debit cards 8 items
electronic payments 8 items
inflation expectations 8 items
payment preferences 8 items
payments 8 items
repo 8 items
runs 8 items
school finance 8 items
subjective expectations 8 items
Cointegration 8 items
Insurance 8 items
Bank assets 7 items
Bank deposits 7 items
Bank profits 7 items
Banks and banking - History 7 items
China 7 items
Contracts 7 items
Corporate profits 7 items
Corporations 7 items
Disclosure of information 7 items
Economies of scale 7 items
Education - Economic aspects 7 items
Employment (Economic theory) 7 items
Households - Economic aspects 7 items
Housing - Finance 7 items
Housing - Prices 7 items
Industrial location 7 items
Mexico 7 items
Political science 7 items
Rational expectations (Economic theory) 7 items
Regression analysis 7 items
Retirement 7 items
Treasury market 7 items
banking 7 items
economic conditions - United States 7 items
forward guidance 7 items
labor contracts 7 items
leverage 7 items
monetary policy transmission 7 items
search 7 items
securitization 7 items
student loans 7 items
term structures 7 items
Banks and banking, Foreign 6 items
Banks and banking, International 6 items
Deficit financing 6 items
Deflation (Finance) 6 items
Economic history 6 items
Economics 6 items
Emigration and immigration 6 items
Federal Reserve 6 items
Fedwire 6 items
Financial market regulatory reform 6 items
Free trade 6 items
Monetary theory 6 items
Money market 6 items
Money theory 6 items
Mutual funds 6 items
Occupational licensing 6 items
Phillips curve 6 items
Retail trade 6 items
Social security 6 items
Sovereign default 6 items
Tariff 6 items
Treasury bills 6 items
capital asset pricing model 6 items
capital flows 6 items
capital regulations 6 items
federal funds market 6 items
global banks 6 items
information 6 items
international banking 6 items
learning 6 items
macroprudential policy 6 items
money markets 6 items
mortgage 6 items
quantitative easing 6 items
recession 6 items
zero lower bound 6 items
Arbitrage 5 items
Balance of trade 5 items
Bank stocks 5 items
Banking structure 5 items
Bankruptcy 5 items
Bayesian statistical decision theory 5 items
Consumer surveys 5 items
Credit derivatives 5 items
Credit ratings 5 items
Discount window 5 items
Emerging markets 5 items
Equity 5 items
Executives - Salaries 5 items
Federal Reserve Bank of New York 5 items
Financial services industry 5 items
Government spending policy 5 items
Households 5 items
Human behavior 5 items
Imports - Prices 5 items
Information theory 5 items
Interbank market 5 items
Investment banking 5 items
Investments, Foreign - United States 5 items
Labor unions 5 items
MBS 5 items
Main Street Lending Program 5 items
Margins (Security trading) 5 items
Medicaid 5 items
Rhode Island 5 items
Service industries 5 items
Sovereign debt 5 items
Technology - Economic aspects 5 items
Treasury securities 5 items
Unemployment insurance 5 items
Venture capital 5 items
asset prices 5 items
bank regulation 5 items
cost of capital 5 items
credit supply 5 items
demographics 5 items
expectation formation 5 items
federal stimulus 5 items
household debt 5 items
household finances 5 items
imperfect information 5 items
inflation persistence 5 items
liquidity traps 5 items
market discipline 5 items
migration 5 items
monetary policy implementation 5 items
mortgage finance 5 items
pass-through entities 5 items
raking 5 items
risk aversion 5 items
survey design 5 items
survey forecasts 5 items
unbanked 5 items
volatility 5 items
ARRA 4 items
Bank directors 4 items
Bank size 4 items
Budget deficits 4 items
Cafeteria benefit plans 4 items
Consumer price indexes 4 items
Currency substitution 4 items
Debt crisis 4 items
Employee fringe benefits 4 items
Equilibrium (Economics) - Mathematical models 4 items
Federal Reserve District, 8th 4 items
Foreclosure 4 items
Foreign exchange - Law and legislation 4 items
Friedman, Milton 4 items
Germany 4 items
Globalization 4 items
Home ownership 4 items
India 4 items
Information technology 4 items
Intangibles 4 items
Interest 4 items
International business enterprises 4 items
International economic integration 4 items
International economic relations 4 items
Keynesian economics 4 items
Labor mobility 4 items
Local finance 4 items
Massachusetts 4 items
Monopolies 4 items
Pensions 4 items
Portfolio management 4 items
Price indexes 4 items
Pricing 4 items
Public schools 4 items
Redistribution 4 items
Regional economics 4 items
Researcher bias 4 items
Sampling (Statistics) 4 items
Social choice 4 items
Statistics 4 items
Stock exchanges 4 items
Stocks 4 items
TBA 4 items
Taylor's rule 4 items
Women - Employment 4 items
asymmetric information 4 items
bank 4 items
central bank balance sheets 4 items
climate change 4 items
community development 4 items
consumer finance 4 items
convenience yields 4 items
credit constraints 4 items
debt management 4 items
density forecasts 4 items
diversification 4 items
financial conditions 4 items
financial fragility 4 items
financial intermediaries 4 items
global financial cycle 4 items
house prices 4 items
incomplete markets 4 items
interbank markets 4 items
interest on reserves 4 items
intermediary asset pricing 4 items
internal capital markets 4 items
liquidity regulations 4 items
macro-finance 4 items
market structure 4 items
mobility 4 items
network 4 items
networks 4 items
poststratification estimates 4 items
precautionary savings 4 items
quantile regressions 4 items
rational inattention 4 items
reserves 4 items
reserves management 4 items
sample selection 4 items
shadow banking 4 items
survey cleaning 4 items
time-varying volatility 4 items
transmission 4 items
vacancies 4 items
Affordable Care Act 3 items
Argentina 3 items
Asset-backed financing 3 items
Auctions 3 items
Banking market 3 items
Banking structure - New England 3 items
Banks and banking - Regulations 3 items
Banks and banking, Foreign - United States 3 items
Bayesian analysis 3 items
Bayesian estimation 3 items
Bayesian inference 3 items
Behavior 3 items
CPI 3 items
Canada 3 items
Capital income tax 3 items
Chief executive officers 3 items
Clientelism 3 items
Collateral constraints 3 items
Collective bargaining 3 items
Commercial loans 3 items
Construction industry 3 items
Credit crunch 3 items
Debt crises 3 items
Derivative securities 3 items
Dividends 3 items
Economic development - Latin America 3 items
Educational vouchers 3 items
Europe 3 items
European Central Bank 3 items
European Economic Community 3 items
Executives 3 items
Federal Reserve System - Independence 3 items
Firm heterogeneity 3 items
Flow of funds 3 items
Foreign exchange futures 3 items
GSE 3 items
Government debt 3 items
Growth 3 items
Hours of labor 3 items
Hours worked 3 items
Immigrants 3 items
Income tax 3 items
Inflation risk 3 items
Intellectual property 3 items
Interstate banking 3 items
Labor supply - New England 3 items
Life insurance companies 3 items
Markets 3 items
Medical care 3 items
Medicare 3 items
Mortgage-backed securities 3 items
New Keynesian model 3 items
Over-the-counter markets 3 items
Partial insurance 3 items
Production efficiency 3 items
Property tax 3 items
Public welfare 3 items
Research and development 3 items
Ricardian equivalence 3 items
Risk management 3 items
Seasonal variations (Economics) 3 items
Subsidies 3 items
Tax progressivity 3 items
U.S. monetary policy spillovers 3 items
Universities and colleges 3 items
Urban economics 3 items
agency mortgage-backed securities 3 items
automobiles 3 items
bank lending 3 items
buprenorphine 3 items
business dynamism 3 items
central banking 3 items
climate 3 items
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