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Working Paper
Cash flow and risk premium dynamics in an equilibrium asset-pricing model with recursive preferences
Under linear approximations for asset prices and the assumption of independence between expected consumption growth and time-varying volatility, long-run risks models imply constant market prices of risks and often generate counterfactual results about asset return and cash ?ow predictability. We develop and estimate a nonlinear equilibrium asset pricing model with recursive preferences and a ?exible econometric speci?cation of cash ?ow processes. While in many long-run risks models time-varying volatility in?uences only risk premium but not expected cash ?ows, in our model a common set of ...
Working Paper
The Equilibrium Term Structure of Equity and Interest Rates
We develop an equilibrium asset pricing model with Epstein-Zin recursive preferences that accounts for major stylized facts of the term structure of bond and equity risk premia. While the term structure of bond risk premia tends to be upward-sloping on average, the term structure of equity risk premia is known to be downward-sloping. {{p}} The equilibrium asset pricing model with long-run consumption risks has difficulty matching these stylized facts simultaneously. The standard calibration of these models follows Bansal and Yaron (2004), in which agents prefer the early resolution of ...