Journal Article
Expected income growth and the Great Recession
French, Eric; Kelley, Taylor; Qi, An (2013-01)
Consumers? expected income growth declined significantly during the Great Recession. It was the most severe drop ever observed in these data, and expectations have not yet fully recovered. Furthermore, this article shows that expected income growth is a strong predictor of actual future income and consumption growth.
Economic Perspectives , Volume 37 , Issue Q I , Pages 14-29