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Journal Article
Effects of California migration
Working Paper
Housing prices and the (in)stability of mortgage prepayment models: evidence from California
Most empirical models of mortgage terminations emphasize refinancing incentives related to interest rate movements. We consider three sources of risk that lead to observed mortgage payment terminations: interest-rate related refinancing, default, and moving. We estimate models that identify the relative importance or regional risk factors leading to termination, using data on mortgage and housing market activity in fifteen California counties from 1992 through 1996. As expected, we find that the time-series dynamics of interest rates and house prices are important determinants of the ...
Working Paper
Housing price cycles and prepayment rates of U.S. mortgage pools.
Empirical mortgage prepayment models generally have trouble explaining differences in mortgage prepayment speeds among pools with similar interest rates on the underlying mortgages. In this paper, we model some of the sources of termination heterogeneity across mortgage pools, particularly the role of regional variations in housing prices in generating atypical prepayment speeds. Using a sample of Freddie Mac mortgage pools from 1991-1998, we find evidence that differences in house price dynamics across regions are an important source of between-pool heterogeneity. This finding is then shown ...
Journal Article
Mortgage interest rates, valuation, and prepayment risk
Journal Article
B2B e-commerce in residential mortgages
Journal Article
California IPO wealth effects: what's left?
Journal Article
California's IPO gold rush