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Report
Aggregate implications of innovation policy
Atkeson, Andrew; Burstein, Ariel
(2011)
In this paper we present a tractable model of innovating firms and the aggregate economy that we use to assess quantitatively the link between the responses of firms to changes in innovation policy and the impact of those policy changes on aggregate output and welfare. We show that, to a first-order approximation, a wide range of policy changes have a long-run impact in direct proportion to the fiscal expenditures on those policies, and that to evaluate the aggregate impact of a policy change, there is no need to calculate changes in firms' decisions in response to these policy changes. ; We ...
Staff Report
, Paper 459
Report
Gambling for redemption and self-fulfilling debt crises
Kehoe, Timothy J.; Conesa, Juan Carlos
(2012)
We develop a model for analyzing the sovereign debt crises of 2010?2012 in the Eurozone. The government sets its expenditure-debt policy optimally. The need to sell large quantities of bonds every period leaves the government vulnerable to self-fulfilling crises in which investors, anticipating a crisis, are unwilling to buy the bonds, thereby provoking the crisis. In this situation, the optimal policy of the government is to reduce its debt to a level where crises are not possible. If, however, the economy is in a recession where there is a positive probability of recovery in fiscal ...
Staff Report
, Paper 465
Report
Perfectly competitive innovation
Levine, David K.; Boldrin, Michele
(2002)
We construct a competitive model of innovation and growth under constant returns to scale. Previous models of growth under constant returns cannot model technological innovation. Current models of endogenous innovation rely on the interplay between increasing returns and monopolistic markets. In fact, established wisdom claims monopoly power to be instrumental for innovation and sees the nonrivalrous nature of ideas as a natural conduit to increasing returns. The results here challenge the positive description of previous models and the normative conclusion that monopoly through copyright and ...
Staff Report
, Paper 303
Report
Why are married women working so much?
Manuelli, Rodolfo E.; McGrattan, Ellen R.; Jones, Larry E.
(2003)
We study the large observed changes in labor supply by married women in the United States over 1950-1990, a period when labor supply by single women has hardly changed at all. We investigate the effects of changes in the gender wage gap, technological improvements in the production of nonmarket goods and potential inferiority of these goods on understanding this change. We find that small decreases in the gender wage gap can explain simultaneously the significant increases in the average hours worked by married women and the relative constancy in the hours worked by single women, and single ...
Staff Report
, Paper 317
Report
Heterogeneity in expected longevities
Pijoan-Mas, Josep; Rios-Rull, Jose-Victor
(2012)
We develop a new methodology to compute differences in the expected longevity of individuals who are in different socioeconomic groups at age 50. We deal with two main problems associated with the standard use of life expectancy: that people?s socioeconomic characteristics evolve over time and that there is a time trend that reduces mortality over time. Using HRS data for individuals from different cohorts, we estimate a hazard model for survival with time-varying stochastic endogenous covariates that yields the desired expected durations. We uncover an enormous amount of heterogeneity in ...
Staff Report
, Paper 471
Report
The permanent income hypothesis revisited
Christiano, Lawrence J.; Eichenbaum, Martin; Marshall, David A.
(1990)
Measured aggregate U.S. consumption does not behave like a martingale. This paper develops and tests two variants of the permanent income model that are consistent with this fact. In both variants, we assume agents make decisions on a continuous time basis. According to the first variant, the martingale hypothesis holds in continuous time and serial persistence in measured consumption reflects only the effects of time aggregation. We investigate this variant using both structural and atheoretical econometric models. The evidence against these models is far from overwhelming. This suggests ...
Staff Report
, Paper 129
Report
A method for estimating the timing interval in a linear econometric model, with an application to Taylor's model of staggered contracts
Christiano, Lawrence J.
(1985)
This paper describes and implements a procedure for estimating the timing interval in any linear econometric model. The procedure is applied to Taylor?s model of staggered contracts using annual averaged price and output data. The fit of the version of Taylor?s model with serially uncorrelated disturbances improves as the timing interval of the model is reduced.
Staff Report
, Paper 101
Report
Time consistency and policy
Prescott, Edward C.; Kehoe, Patrick J.; Chari, V. V.
(1988)
Staff Report
, Paper 115
Report
Systematically missing data in econometric models
Skoog, Gary R.
(1976)
Staff Report
, Paper 13
Report
Appendix for How Exporters Grow
Yedid-Levi, Yaniv; Fitzgerald, Doireann; Haller, Stephanie
(2017-01-24)
No abstract
Staff Report
, Paper 539
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Government transfers 1 items
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Gresham's law 1 items
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Harberger 1 items
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Hyperinflation 1 items
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Imports 1 items
Incomplete markets 1 items
Inflation (Finance) - Mathematical models 1 items
Inflation expectations 1 items
Inflation risk 1 items
Inflation targeting 1 items
Inheritance and transfer tax 1 items
Innovative investment 1 items
Institutional investors 1 items
Insurance industry 1 items
Intangible capital 1 items
Intangible investments 1 items
Interference with private contracts 1 items
International business enterprises 1 items
International capital markets 1 items
International elasticity puzzle 1 items
International financial markets 1 items
International risk sharing 1 items
International trade - Econometric models 1 items
International transfers 1 items
Interstate migration 1 items
Investments, Foreign 1 items
Japan 1 items
Job flows 1 items
Job-finding rate 1 items
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Knowledge diffusion 1 items
Korea 1 items
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Labor turnover 1 items
Labor unions 1 items
Latin America - Economic conditions 1 items
Law of one price 1 items
Learning 1 items
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Life expectancy 1 items
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Life-cycle model 1 items
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Macroeconomic history 1 items
Macroeconomic shocks 1 items
Macroeconomics - Econometric models 1 items
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Medicaid 1 items
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Monetary policy - Mathematical models 1 items
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Multiplier (Economics) 1 items
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Neoclassical growth theory 1 items
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New Keynesian models 1 items
Newspapers 1 items
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Optimal currency area 1 items
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Optimal taxation 1 items
Origin- and destination-based taxation 1 items
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Partial default 1 items
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Pathogens 1 items
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Philadelphia (Pa.) 1 items
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Price markups 1 items
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Pricing 1 items
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Public enterprises 1 items
Public goods 1 items
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Public policy 1 items
Purchasing power parity 1 items
Quota 1 items
RBC methodology 1 items
Ramsey taxation 1 items
Real exchange rate disconnect puzzle 1 items
Real exchange rates 1 items
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Recession 1 items
Recruiting intensity 1 items
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Regular retail prices 1 items
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Rent (Economic theory) 1 items
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Retail sales 1 items
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Retiree health benefits 1 items
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Risk shifting 1 items
SIR 1 items
SIR model 1 items
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Sampling (Statistics) 1 items
Search and matching 1 items
Search and matching model 1 items
Search frictions 1 items
Search model 1 items
Selection 1 items
Self-fulfilling debt crises 1 items
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Sequencing reforms 1 items
Serial defaulters 1 items
Shimer puzzle 1 items
Slow recoveries 1 items
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Social distancing 1 items
Social networks 1 items
Social welfare functions 1 items
South AFrica 1 items
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Sovereign default with production economy 1 items
Sovereign risk 1 items
Span-of-control model 1 items
Special purpose vehicles 1 items
Spot price volatility 1 items
Stability of the Phillips curve 1 items
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Steady state 1 items
Stock exchanges 1 items
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Sudden stops 1 items
Sugar 1 items
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