Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas publications Economic research and commentary from Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas https://fedinprint.org/search?facets[]=provider_literal_array:Federal+Reserve+Bank+of+Dallas Mon, 13 Jul 2026 16:21:59 +0000 Semiparametric Local Projections https://fedinprint.org/item/feddwp/103495/original https://fedinprint.org/item/feddwp/103495/original Herrera, Ana María; Kilian, Lutz; Gonçalves, Sílvia; Kelanemer Holban, Iones; Pesavento, Elena 2026-06-30 impulse response; local projection; semiparametric estimation; double machine learning; nonlinear structural model; potential outcomes 2616 10.24149/wp2616 Working Papers xtcipsunb: The CIPS Panel Unit Root Test for Unbalanced Panel Data https://fedinprint.org/item/feddwp/103516/original https://fedinprint.org/item/feddwp/103516/original Hoham, Benjamin; Chudik, Alexander 2026-07-07 xtcipsunb; panel time series; time series; unit-root testing; cross-section dependence; unbalanced panels 2619 10.24149/wp2619 Working Papers Opening remarks for 'Market Liquidity and Leverage in a Digital Age' panel https://fedinprint.org/item/feddsp/103515 https://fedinprint.org/item/feddsp/103515 Logan, Lorie 2026-07-09 Speeches and Essays Discussion of 'An Efficient Liquidity Savings Mechanism' by Darrell Duffie, Srisht Fateh Singh and Chaojun Wang https://fedinprint.org/item/feddsp/103514 https://fedinprint.org/item/feddsp/103514 Schulhofer-Wohl, Sam 2026-07-09 Speeches and Essays International comparisons show AI effect on productivity https://fedinprint.org/item/d00001/103494 https://fedinprint.org/item/d00001/103494 Davis, J. Scott 2026-07-07 artificial intelligence (AI); labor; productivity Dallas Fed Economics Should States Reduce Teacher Licensing Requirements? Evidence from the Rise of For-Profit Training Programs in Texas https://fedinprint.org/item/feddwp/103498/original https://fedinprint.org/item/feddwp/103498/original Deneault, Christa; Riehl, Evan 2026-07-06 teacher certification; teacher preparation; occupational licensing 2618 10.24149/wp2618 Working Papers Work from Home and Migration https://fedinprint.org/item/feddwp/103497/original https://fedinprint.org/item/feddwp/103497/original Blandin, Adam; Bick, Alexander; Rubinton, Hannah; Mertens, Karel 2026-07-01 migration; work from home; remote work; labor mobility 2617 10.24149/wp2617 Working Papers Supplier networks transmit Fed rate moves through economy https://fedinprint.org/item/d00001/103493 https://fedinprint.org/item/d00001/103493 Ozdagli, Ali; Weber, Michael 2026-06-30 monetary policy Dallas Fed Economics U.S. economy less vulnerable to geopolitical oil price shocks than in the past https://fedinprint.org/item/d00001/103434 https://fedinprint.org/item/d00001/103434 Kilian, Lutz; Plante, Michael D.; Richter, Alexander W. 2026-06-23 oil price; geopolitics; oil supply disruptions; structural change Dallas Fed Economics Term funding premium: Time is money even absent interest rate risk https://fedinprint.org/item/d00001/103435 https://fedinprint.org/item/d00001/103435 Ozil, Ipek; De Vere, Hugo; Searls, Seth; Ramaswamy, Srini 2026-06-25 term structure of interest rates; term funding premium; term premium; term rate premium; swap spreads Dallas Fed Economics Supplier networks transmit Fed rate moves through economy https://fedinprint.org/item/d00001/103469 https://fedinprint.org/item/d00001/103469 Ozdagli, Ali; Weber, Michael 2026-06-30 monetary policy Dallas Fed Economics Texas community college enrollment slips while four-year rates stay stable https://fedinprint.org/item/feddse/103470 https://fedinprint.org/item/feddse/103470 Council, Dylan; Dhillon, Isabel; Deneault, Christa 2026-06-26 Texas; community college; Four-year college; enrollment Southwest Economy How Times Have Changed: The Impact of the 2026 Iran War on the U.S. Economy https://fedinprint.org/item/feddwp/103437/original https://fedinprint.org/item/feddwp/103437/original Richter, Alexander W.; Kilian, Lutz; Plante, Michael D. 2026-06-23 oil price; geopolitics; oil supply disruptions; open economy; structural change 2615 10.24149/wp2615 Working Papers The Interest Rate Effect of Government Debt and Deficits: Does Domestic Borrowing Have a Different Impact Than Foreign Borrowing? https://fedinprint.org/item/feddwp/103436/original https://fedinprint.org/item/feddwp/103436/original Davis, J. Scott; Derr, Lillian 2026-06-22 government bond yields; government debt; current account 2614 10.24149/wp2614 Working Papers Oil prices are up; whither the Texas boom? https://fedinprint.org/item/feddse/103400 https://fedinprint.org/item/feddse/103400 Thompson, Jesse; Torres, Luis; Leigh, Robert 2026-06-05 oil; gas; prices; production; Texas Southwest Economy Understanding discount window usage: Key drivers and early warning signals https://fedinprint.org/item/d00067/103384 https://fedinprint.org/item/d00067/103384 Munyan, Ben; Ozden, Ozge 2026-06-05 banks; discount window Dallas Fed Banking Hormuz closure offsets tariff reversal; U.S. left with upside inflation risk https://fedinprint.org/item/d00001/103383 https://fedinprint.org/item/d00001/103383 Reyes-Heroles, Ricardo M.; Aanenson, Tryg 2026-06-02 energy; global; international economics; trade; tariffs; Hormuz; oil Dallas Fed Economics Opening remarks for moderated conversation at The University of Texas at El Paso https://fedinprint.org/item/feddsp/103385 https://fedinprint.org/item/feddsp/103385 Logan, Lorie 2026-06-03 economic outlook; monetary policy outlook Speeches and Essays Rising hedge fund leverage affects monetary policy implementation https://fedinprint.org/item/d00001/103350 https://fedinprint.org/item/d00001/103350 Kahn, R. Jay; McCormick, Matthew 2026-05-28 hedge fund leverage; monetary policy; spreads; Treasury yields Dallas Fed Economics Opening remarks for ‘Monetary policy and imbalances’ panel https://fedinprint.org/item/feddsp/103349 https://fedinprint.org/item/feddsp/103349 Logan, Lorie 2026-05-27 monetary policy; imbalances Speeches and Essays Climbing the employment ladder tough when bottom rung is broken https://fedinprint.org/item/d00001/103348 https://fedinprint.org/item/d00001/103348 Rincker, Theresa; Cheremukhin, Anton 2026-05-26 labor; forecasting; monetary policy Dallas Fed Economics Texas economy shows resilience amid geopolitical uncertainty https://fedinprint.org/item/feddse/103299 https://fedinprint.org/item/feddse/103299 Brizuela, Isabel; Dixon, Ethan 2026-05-22 Texas; labor; energy; economy Southwest Economy Fed’s forecasting edge ebbed prepandemic, persisted in downside inflation surprises https://fedinprint.org/item/d00001/103298 https://fedinprint.org/item/d00001/103298 Martínez García, Enrique; Chudik, Alexander 2026-05-21 Federal Reserve; Consumer Price Index (CPI); Blue Chip; inflation; forecast Dallas Fed Economics Ranchers herd it all as fewer cattle pressure beef prices; screwworm lurks https://fedinprint.org/item/feddse/103297 https://fedinprint.org/item/feddse/103297 Dixon, Ethan; Yousuf, Mariam 2026-05-20 beef prices; cattle ranchers; Mexico; screwworm; Texas Southwest Economy Trader remains bullish on cattle despite economic, contagion threats https://fedinprint.org/item/feddse/103296 https://fedinprint.org/item/feddse/103296 Orrenius, Pia M. 2026-05-20 beef; cattle; screwworm Southwest Economy