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Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Working Papers
Reading the recent monetary history of the U.S., 1959-2007
Jesus Fernández-Villaverde
Pablo Guerrón-Quintana
Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez.
Abstract

The authors report the results of the estimation of a rich dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the U.S. economy with both stochastic volatility and parameter drifting in the Taylor rule. They use the results of this estimation to examine the recent monetary history of the U.S. and to interpret, through this lens, the sources of the rise and fall of the great American inflation from the late 1960s to the early 1980s and of the great moderation of business cycle fluctuations between 1984 and 2007.


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Jesus Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo Guerrón-Quintana & Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez., Reading the recent monetary history of the U.S., 1959-2007, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Working Papers 10-15, 2010.
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Keywords: Economic conditions - United States ; Business cycles - Econometric models ; Econometric models ; Monetary policy - United States
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