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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Working Papers
Convergence in the United States: a tale of migration and urbanization
Riccardo DiCecio
Charles S. Gascon
Abstract

We use non-parametric distribution dynamics techniques to reassess the convergence of per capita personal income (PCPI) across U.S. states and across metropolitan and nonmetropolitan portions of states for the period 1969-2005. The long-run distribution of PCPI is bimodal for both states and metro/nonmetro portions. Further- more, the high income mode of the distribution across metro and nonmetro portions corresponds to the single mode of the long-run distribution across metro portions only. These results (polarization or club-convergence) are reversed when weighting by population. The long run distributions across people are consistent with convergence. Migration and urbanization are the forces behind convergence.


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Riccardo DiCecio & Charles S. Gascon, Convergence in the United States: a tale of migration and urbanization, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Working Papers 2008-002, 2008.
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Keywords: Migration; Internal ; Income distribution
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