Journal Article

Does the Yield Curve Really Forecast Recession?


Abstract: An inverted yield curve doesn?t forecast recession; it forecasts conditions that make recession more likely.

https://doi.org/10.20955/es.2018.30

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Bibliographic Information

Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Part of Series: Economic Synopses

Publication Date: 2018

Issue: 30

Pages: 1-2