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Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
Research Working Paper
Dynamic specifications in optimizing trend-deviation macro models
Sharon Kozicki
Peter A. Tinsley
Abstract

As noted in surveys by Goodfriend and King (1997) and Walsh (1998) and exemplified by models analyzed in Taylor (1999), there is encouraging progress in developing optimizing trend-deviation macro models that provide useful insights into the transmission and design of monetary policy. Several controversial features of a minimalist trend-deviation model, with optimizing households, firms, and bond traders, are examined. Dynamic specifications are suggested to improve the data-based realism, while preserving the simplicity, of the minimalist model.


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Sharon Kozicki & Peter A. Tinsley, Dynamic specifications in optimizing trend-deviation macro models, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Research Working Paper RWP 01-03, 2001.
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Keywords: Phillips curve
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