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Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Working Paper Series
Monetary policy inertia: fact or fiction?
Glenn D. Rudebusch
Abstract

Estimated monetary policy rules often appear to indicate a sluggish partial adjustment of the policy interest rate by the central bank. In fact, such evidence does not appear to be persuasive, since the illusion of monetary policy inertia may reflect spuriously omitted persistent influences on the setting of policy. Similarly, theoretical arguments do not provide a compelling case for real-world policy inertia. However, empirical evidence on the policy rule obtained by examining expectations of future monetary policy embedded in the term structure of interest rates is very informative and indicates that the actual amount of policy inertia is quite low.


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Glenn D. Rudebusch, Monetary policy inertia: fact or fiction?, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Working Paper Series 2005-19, 2005.
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Keywords: Monetary policy ; Interest rates
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